Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr. Faversham 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bobby Merlot 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Cowboy Cause 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Little Warrior 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Klimtomaniac 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Tap to Connect 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Roulette 4.50 7.3 14-1
8 8 Wicked Tough 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Admiral Afleet 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Little Z 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Snow Flurry 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tootoo Tourist 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Unified Love 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Craftroom 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Little E 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Hauntress 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hold My Hat 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Romeo Spikes 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Onemotime 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Bella’s Boss 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Native Red 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 El Dan 5.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Chief Slew 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Hes the Bomb Too 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 C F Spunie Style 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Talk of the Town 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Herecomestroy 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Iron Moon 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 All Saints 4.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Moon Trip 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bud Won 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Nephi 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Out Making Treble 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Tiverton 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucky’s Secret 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rumpusinthesky 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Kinfolk 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Four Dice 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Town Branch 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Kit Kat Kidd 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Heza Sexy Zong 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 A’debris 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Homeland Messa 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mokings 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rockall 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Quarter Rat 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hail the Cat 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Inspector Ed 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Shankinstine 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Thunder Road 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Joey’s Lightening 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wonderrand 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Nodah 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 R T’s Gem 4.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Pickin Ana Grinnin 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Alliaceous 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ironit 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Fort Polk 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Blue Ridge Queen 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Girl Thirsty 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Tensas Candy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kant Beat the Rock 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Seismic Spirit (IRE) 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Drip d’Oro 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Baron of the Nile 12.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Mazing Mark 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 South Side 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sam’s Promise 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Northwind 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Castille 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 J’s Little Man 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Coastal Defense 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 G’s Storm 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Family Creed 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 G E H Giants Way 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Cool Ride 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Mr. Butch Womble 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Lo Lo’s Laughter 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.