Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Peace Dog |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
You Vee Cee |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holding Pattern |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Campisi |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Colonel Barton |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reef’s Destiny |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chupapi Munyayo |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Amazing Success |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Macho Ronnie |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stomping Hotrod |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mansoura |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Brother Tony |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elko County |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brother Tony |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spurgeon |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bolt’s Treasure |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tell ‘Em I’m Comin |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Caldera |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Can’t Stop Willis |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Darrow |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Wise Decision |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Dream Princess |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Guana Cay |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Blush |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo Sense |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Mercedes |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Undecoded |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Butterfly Queen |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marina’s Gold |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adiva |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Catherine Blaze |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clearly Creeps |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Courtney Fay |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Right Trappe |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Just Like Magic |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sweet Music Man |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Blues |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Staygoldponyboy |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rev’s Tomb |
20.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Computing Champ |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chick Command |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Work Boots |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Chasin’ Chaffin |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Malachi |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Bourbon River |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweet Music Man |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
G. Erik |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Stiglets |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kevin’s Strike |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tom Cat Tuesday |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Primo Canary |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frack Baby |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Landing Craft |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fountain Lake |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sprint Out Pass |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gateskeeper |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tango Mike Mike |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tactical Man |
30.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
14 |
14 |
Magic Mover |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Unionista |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
First Division |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fireball Birdie |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ben Franklin |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rabbit Hound |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Luna Vieja |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ben Dreaming |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free Again |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cashmeup |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
J T’s Imagination |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rebelious |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ice Express |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cawkab |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Count Dracula |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lemon Muffin |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Hebrides |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Irina’s Charm |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Standoutsensation |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Viable |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Angel of Faith |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mo Shiro |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Midsummer March |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sensible Choice |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Good Like Magic |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dr. Soulfire |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Seas of Normandy |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stand Proud |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frost Alert |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Euclid Avenue |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Corredor |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Veracruzin |
4.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star Nation |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mystifier |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Baron |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fetchs Brahm |
50.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
13 |
13 |
Canadian Game |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Nepal Up |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Speed Bias |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dimatic |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pats Property |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classic Car Wash |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hero Status |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Denington |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arro Smash |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winnemac Avenue |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Myra’s Boy |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Logical Myth |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bettys Cash |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atta Party |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
One Ten Stadium |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
King Peanut |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blame J D |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Table Money |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Al’s Romeo |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miri a Coincidence |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Choctaw Zip |
10.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bellamys Roan |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
I’m an Oak |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blessed Vision |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.