Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 18, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Arwen 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Accelerina 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Wild Iris 1.60 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lady Laoban 6.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Lem Me Drink 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rcaptivating 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Political Spin 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Janssen 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 York Tavern 1.20 2.2 4-1
6 6 Deputy Connect 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Brown Don’t Stop 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Just Be Honest 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Gum Island 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Skellig Island 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 La Banquera 1.60 1 2-1
1 4 Enfuega 1.60 4.7 9-1
6 7 Shining Spirit 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 6 La Grotte 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 1 Mo Damorninggrouch 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 8 Majulu 2.00 6.1 11-1
4 3 Big Hazel 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 2 Bewildered 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Allure of Money 0 0-1
6 6 Montebello 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Allure of Money 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Sundaeswithsandy 1.40 2.4 5-1
2 2 Majestic Frontier 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Bad Larry 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Eric From Miami 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Co Conspirator 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Toxic Gray 1.20 1 2-1
1A 6 Disarmed 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Ridgewood Runner 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Spun and Won 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Squire Creek 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 King Angelo 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 4 Celestial Glaze 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Midlaner 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whiskey N Soda 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ice Road 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Winter’s Ghost 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Wine Responsibly 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Indianquest 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Steady Progress 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Strong Light 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Sagamore Mischief 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Sugar Gray Leonard 30.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Helium 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Stjames 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Air of Defiance 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Printrack 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Radio Red 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Quick to Accuse 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Silo Ridge 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Commuted 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tivy 10.00 4.6 9-1
1A 10 Crazy Mason 3.00 6.2 12-1
10 11 Shipsational 10.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Beaver State 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Light the Way 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Busanda S.) – Busanda S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Running Away 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 My Sherrona 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Beautiful Blome 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Sharp Smile 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Ramify 2.50 6.6 13-1
6 6 Ruth 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Bless the Broken 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Carmen’s Candy Jar 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bernieandtherose 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vamonos Vamonos 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Monte Avi 8.00 1.8 3-1
13 13 Play the Gray 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Monomoy Beach 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Whiskey Frens 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Cada Dia Mejor 6.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 White Blue 30.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Goodbye 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Jasonjet 8.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Ten Run Rule 20.00 11 21-1
8 8 Sway the Jury 10.00 11.1 21-1
1 1 Waiting for A. I. 30.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Rocked Out 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.