Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 18, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prizeless 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 G’wildcat 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Black Sword 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Autumns Strong Man 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Doublediamond Deal 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Half Again 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tresillian 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Otter Creek 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Personal Jet 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Anacreon 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Seven Devils Road 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 After the Game 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Palmetto Star 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 First Samaritan 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tensas Lu Lu 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Madelyn’s Hit 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Custom Sunshine 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Suzy Doll’s Ready 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Dealority 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Fitzy 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Donna Lirica 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lady of Devon 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Reaux Bina 12.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Lightening Mo 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Saberfight 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Grace’s Soldier 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Come What Mae 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Kappa Hill 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Taken It 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Weather Map 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Running Argument 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Leucadia 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hidden Love 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Giant Tude 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Aurora Australis 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Surrey 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dylan’s Dream 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mrs. Macomber 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lucky Bead Lady 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Gypsy Jackpot 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Charged Up Rose 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Byzantine 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Domina 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ourperfectprincess 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Yolanda Who 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Debbies Passage 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Marina 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Valtesse 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Missheartbreaker 6.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Scrapbook 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Payton’s Indian 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bar Tap 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Triple L’s Cutter 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tenacious Lady 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Miss Darlene 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Magic Glass 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Emityaaz 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Sienna Breeze 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Summertime Bandit 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Rosy Edge 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Art Queen 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Carpe Horseshoe 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Reina Del Sur 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Miz Jameson 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Gypsyroselee 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Watch This Munny 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Zing 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 New Destiny 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Fasted 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Mila’s Kat 6.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Hardly Mischievous 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Be Bo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wicked Punches 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Muncle 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Taurean 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Louisiana Bargain 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Velocidad 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Chief Harlan 5.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Two Weeks Notice 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Due We Dare 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Hercules N Love 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Easy Eddie A 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Take It to Court 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Native Requite 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.