Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 18, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kenmore West 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Louisiana Wildlife 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Benji Star 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Springtown 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Givemeasecond 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Starry Eyed 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Angelic Knight 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Razor Crest 5.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Mystic Hope 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Rain Is Gone 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Liam’s Mist 4.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 C C Short Drive 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Deal With It 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Smittys Cheetah 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Kalil 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Wosiemaks 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Rosalba the Wicked 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Moneyforwednesday 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Little Millie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Funnyflame 8.00 1 2-1
13 13 Brit’s Wit 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 News At Nine 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Summer in Adriane 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Curlin’s Gesture 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Sicilian Defense 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Contemplation 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Devilsgotacause 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 National Eclipse 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 My Boy Tony 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bolt From Above 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 My Noble Knight 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sand Pipes 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rock N Roll Bolt 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 High Ransom 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Call Me Susan 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kinsley Grace 20.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Swamp Queen 5.00 2 4-1
9 9 Canal Street 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Instaspeed 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Margie’s Intention 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Thundering Desire 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Platinum Midnight 20.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Moonie Pie 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 A Wicked Number 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Eve of Eve 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Vanna G 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Custom’s Cleared 0 0-1
Custom’s Cleared 0 0-1
3 3 Silent Breeze 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Custom’s Cleared 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Pair of Socks 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Hard Line 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Remi 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 American Guy 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Wicked as Haggart 8.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Quik Punch 10.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Jus Surprise Me 8.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Swiss Account 15.00 9 17-1
6 6 V Cut 30.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Cajun Coaster 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Watchingtime 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 M L Brody’s Gem 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Yourcuznfromboston 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Duncan F. Kenner S.) – Duncan F. Kenner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Over and Ollie 0 0-1
11 11 Bear River 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Kavod 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Demolition Duke 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Uncashed 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Swift as I Am 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Gilcrease 15.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Over and Ollie 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Mischievous Rogue 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Gilded Ruler 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Felix 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Nobals 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Yinzer 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Cromwell 4.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Limited Edition 8.00 2 4-1
9 9 Pretty Capable 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Doroteo 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Global Quote 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Shadow Coast 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Magical Wish 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hypnus 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Dune a Vetta 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Champagne Rose (BRZ) 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Ghostly Gal 10.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Stir Crazy 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Strikingly Spun 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Cupids Crush 4.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Quatro Y Vinte (URU) 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Tryinmyheartout 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Lakota Spirit 15.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 Quality Star 20.00 9.9 19-1
15 15 Lady Firefoot 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Join the Dance 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Autism Community 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hurry Up Hannah 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Austere 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Way to Be Marie 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Nanda Dea (ARG) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton Silverbulletday S.) – Fasig-tipton Silverbulletday S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Golden Gamble 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Simply Joking 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Chasten 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 She’s a Swede 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bless the Broken 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Drexel Hill 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 California Sunset 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gowells Delight 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Colonel E. R. Bradley S.) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gigante 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Idratherbeblessed 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 City Man 12.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Money Supply 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Happy American 50.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Duke of Carthania 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Gray’s Fable 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 What Say Thee 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tonka Warrior 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stitched 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Wadsworth 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Northern Invader 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Velocitor 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Higgins Boat 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Louisiana S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – Louisiana S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hit Show 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Track Phantom 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Komorebino Omoide (JPN) 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cooke Creek 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Skinner 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Pipeline 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Heroic Move 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Maycocks Bay 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Warrior Johny 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Velocitor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Lecomte S.) – Lecomte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Disco Time 0 0-1
11 11 Disco Time 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Magnitude 6.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Built 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Maximum Promise 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Dapper Moon 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Calling Card 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Jolly Samurai 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Innovator 10.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Optical 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Tough Catch 10.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 Seattle Road 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Golden Afternoon 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Mobetterthangood 20.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Admiral Dennis 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.