Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
New Boots |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Not the First Time |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thorold Miss |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Good Morning Mercy |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gala Dancer |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cayuga |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marmara |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweetheart Moon |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heaven’s Promise |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Everett’s Song |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ace Nine Nine |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rhumjar |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Galatians |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Master of None |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Divine Armor |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gambling Tzar |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Agarramesipuedes |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Night Preacher |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blo By’em |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Latin Rebel |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Buzz Adams |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Real Talented |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fly Pelican |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knucker Punk |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fire of Anatolia |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Geisha S.) – Geisha S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Call Another Play |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Call Another Play |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oncourtcommentator |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Too Many Kisses |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Digging Broad |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Whisper |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon Bon Bay |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mavilus |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Quick Tempo |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Monday Morning Qb |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Icing |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mister Agent |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irish Warlock |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nancy Made My Day |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
King’s River |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whiskey and You |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Dream |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shape Note |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Jennings S.) – Jennings S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Speedyness |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quint’s Brew |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hittheroadjak |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Blue Line |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Feeling Woozy |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brilliant Ice |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Circle P |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Captain Quint |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whiskeyinthejaro |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (What A Summer S.) – What A Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ms. Bucchero |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kant Hurry Love |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
St. Benedicts Prep |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Clouds |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spencerian |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Tell Kelly |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fire Plug S.) – Fire Plug S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Prince of Jericho |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Repo Rocks |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
On the Mark |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tudox Opportunity |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freeze the Fire |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Easy Days |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Full Irish |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hot Boss |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sunshine Hazel |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet No No |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vino Paella |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Star Venezuelan |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Wine |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ravenex |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Born Charmer |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kaya Star |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.