Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Toodle Loo |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Re Re’s Rocket |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beachya |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Woodcut |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stephanie Starfish |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Confirmed Forgery |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Call Sadie |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Macy |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Memory Maker |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hamazimaux |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holly Springs |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Golden Edge |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Pickmeupatmidnight |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Plinko Chip |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Chipotle Pepper |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thorn Crown |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
End of Innocence |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chiquita Reina |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Charlina |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tres Chic (ARG) |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Spite Lite |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inventing Anna |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Escapade |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
On the Money Luv |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
K J’s Pistol Annie |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Spring Dancer |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Going Steady |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barbie’s Dream |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dare to Fly |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rational Theory |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cocktail Humor |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Pippa |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coaster |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Trading Secrets |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Lethal Caracal |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Westeros |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Kween’s King |
20.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
String Theory |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lord Diamond |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Phenomenal Dream |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seeking the Game |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Got a Guy |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gentle Ben |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daretocatchlove |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gee No Hollander |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Safe Bet |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Stauf |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Mandatory Mission |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Non Fungible |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Without Borders |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ravin’s Town |
20.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Feathers Road |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fort Warren |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
King Anthony |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
K Crown |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Market Street |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
League of Legends |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Reeled In |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Go the Distance |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Refuah |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Baytown Chatterbox |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pride’s Prince |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Putting Eagle |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Trusted Image |
30.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Covert Law |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Risk Factor |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Exchange |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Quality Style |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Magic Mover |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Falcon |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
First Division |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sixtyseven Mustang |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jinxzi |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Talklessworkmore |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gunoe |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Happy Strike |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Toddchero |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mumayaz |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mena |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
I’m McDreamy |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Onthestage |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Liam’s Journey |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hern |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Special Dispatch |
5.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Millers Rite |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Big City |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lat Long |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dance My Way |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hush It Honey |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Banterra |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Ju Forget |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Hill |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bennykayandsuzytoo |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Silvia |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Music Mistress |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Dreamer |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Popperina |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Lassie My Girl |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiffany Twist |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lite It Up Louie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Managing Mischief |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Renaissance S.) – Renaissance S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Perfect Magic |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Magic |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kale’s Angel |
0.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wildncrazynight |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Three Echoes |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wisconsin Gal |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Dandi |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Piquant |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Absinthe |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Absinthe |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Trouble |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roman Grace |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brunch Punch |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Logistics |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Laurie’s Secret |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wise Miss |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ashburn Alley |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bella Haze |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wampus Kitten |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pretty Layla |
15.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
10 |
10 |
New Woman |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.