Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Giant Luther |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Three Georges |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lord Dunmore |
1.60 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fix It Quick |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giant Luther |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shapoval |
4.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Millbo Baggins |
15.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Twilight Time |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Throwin Heat |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Brahms Mendelssohn |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Captain Willis |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Caviar Cowboy |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Walk the Cat |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
P Twentytwo |
1.20 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Captain Willis |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shake the Dust |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unusual Memories |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Highland Echo |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Your Sweet Baby |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jeffrey On the Run |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mayacama |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Miche Lada |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Naturally Blonde |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spicy Ride |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Be a Goldfish |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Lovin Feelin |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Clovisconnection |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big City Lights |
0.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smiling Beast |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Haywood |
30.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Geezer |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Miles Finch |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cullen J |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Got Soul |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hothead |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
James J. Braddock |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Master Jacques |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Glass of Jameson |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Benny’s Puzzle |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dawkins |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lonesome Stew |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bob’s Blue Moon |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Bucky Charm |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Duty First |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Devil Among Us |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Windribbon |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Disrespectful |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shady Appeal |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Stay and Scam |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Andiamo Ragazza |
10.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Safa |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moment’s Pleasure |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shocking Grey |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Barbera |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Quantum Innergy |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elegant Sway |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Satellite Heart |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Pax a Punch |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pax a Punch |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Gypsy Cowboy |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Citizen Barrett |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Day At the Track |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Check’s On the Way |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dancing Dillon |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Marc the Money Man |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Petrified |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jennys Tiz |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oscar’s Mark |
4.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
Santa Barbarian |
6.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
6 |
6 |
Western Freedom |
12.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Old Pal |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fast Buck |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
On the Whim |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Barely Funtional |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aligato |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jimmy Blue Jeans |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Takes Three |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Coalinga Road |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
None Above the Law |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
We Can |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Keep Movin’ On |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (California Chrome Cal Cup Derby) – California Chrome Cal Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shea Brennan |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskyginandbrandy |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Style Cat |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Got’m Cot’m |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drop Um |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m a Bad Boy |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Heisman |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Accidental Genius |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tequilaandtherapy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
In the Air Tonight |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hey Jessie |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Less Is More |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miso Phansy |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
We the Hobby |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Pavel Is Appealing |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chilly Philly |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Another Card |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Soiree |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sunset Grazen |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
Musical Number |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grateful My Love |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.