Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 19, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Backside Buzz 6.00 1 2-1
1 2 President Z 2.50 1.7 3-1
2B 7 Dangerous Ride 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 1 Cold as Hell 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Royal Tryst 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Vinsanity 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 4 Magnolia Midnight 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 Magnificent Mile 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Chief 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Charging Aero 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Beary Funny 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Khafre 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Jake Rocks 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Honorary Degree 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Return the Ring 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Camm’ Duke 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Noble Huntsman 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Rhum Pressure 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Concorde Spirit 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 David’s Tuition 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Alpha Sonny 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Betta Go Go Go 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 5 Halo City 12.00 1 2-1
1A 6 Pistol Liz Ablazen 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 4 Vegas Weekend 4.50 1.9 3-1
3 2 Shezanarcticqueen 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Spring Magic 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 9 April Antics 15.00 4.8 9-1
2B 7 Jolly Miss Jill 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 10 Bustin Bay 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Principia 3.50 SCRATCH
6 8 Waitwaitdonttellme 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Endless Vow 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dear John 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Pocket Queens 1.60 4.1 8-1
4 4 Our Preferred Pal 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Esther’s Salad 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Rodeo Star 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Divorced of Course 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Syl’s Pleasure 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Valenzan Day 4.00 1 2-1
2 1 Greener Pastures 1.80 3 6-1
6 5 Commandperformance 30.00 4.5 9-1
1A 9 High Tide 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Winnin’onweekends 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 6 Cumberland Blues 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Brooklyn Strong 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 8 Beachwalker 3.00 8.8 17-1
5 4 Higher Quality 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midtown Lights 15.00 1 2-1
1A 6 Sue Ellen Mishkin 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 9 Golden Rocket 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 8 Courbe 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Weigh the Risks 0.60 2.9 5-1
1 3 Just Music 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sweetest Princess 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Miss Lao 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 7 I’m Buzzy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Active Duty 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shakin the Belle 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Prairie Dunes 12.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Taparino 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Luca On Point 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Nilruc 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Mano E Mano 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lcgolucky 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Mighty Glory 30.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Limits of Power 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.