Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burninhunkoflove | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Release McCraken | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | India Ink | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Onasa | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Berley | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peso in My Pocket | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer in Aiken | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancin With Angels | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Supremely | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | He Gots to Go | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Quartet | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desoto’s War | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Machine | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Peerless | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fabled Ruler | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haleys Sailor | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Max Pandowdy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shortlist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Fit to Fly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mesa Spirit | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | X J Rascal (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Lancelot (GB) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Premium | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atras | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortuity | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cyclone Attack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | We Miss Arlington | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shut Up Man | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Channel Won | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cazadero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unified Report | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Musical Spell | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Saint Charles | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Appeal Denied | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Acknowledge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hesper | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia West | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Josh G | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Late Again | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Warrior | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Fine Baby | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gift Giver | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Star Rock Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ann Alee | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sandra D | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jocasta | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Autism Community | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo Dream | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mercy Warren | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Therearenorules | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Alyssa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sabalenka | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Federalism | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Way to Be Marie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairo Dream | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Our Shenanigan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Jubilee | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Sassy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Song | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart’s Compass | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruby’s Ghost | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undisputed Victory | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gin Run | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Star Star | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Navarrian | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Misterholyroller | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dogwood Crossing | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toni’s Inferno | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southscape | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sippin On Gin | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bob’s Channel | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Regatta Bay | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Island Cabana | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who Is Chief | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gem of a Storm | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chaste One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doolgaroux | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Emily’s Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cunimbus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | California Sunset | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whata Moon | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play With Fire | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anonima | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prima Bella | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chattanooga Crew | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad About Marie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drexel Hill | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.