Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | This Damsel Mayfly | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Wilhelmina | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke Show Girl | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Texas Sequoia | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Air Castle | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kava | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tactical Express | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fine by Design | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Athelas | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cosmic Chic | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adamantly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chuck Wills Widow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sulwe | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Sulwe | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy Got Game | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thestral | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vinobello | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yo Puedo | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Smart | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Cat | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sensible Choice | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She Makes a Point | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bang Bang Fury | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Talk | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rush to Glory | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racquel Blue | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wowsers | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Twirl | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coffee Kisses | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taker Back | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Late to the Game | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Me a Sunset | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lahar Blockade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Keen Cat | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Polterer | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Spark | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Prince | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Life | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard to Fathom | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Channel | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Face Value | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nepal Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Antigravity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Truth Bomb | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Surfin’ M | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mintastic | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Audax Minor | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Down the Islands | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Gallivant | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prichard | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor Bo | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baltoro | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Vino | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Vidi Vici | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | C J’s Boomba | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vaden | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Count de Monet | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blow Torch | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vale | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Metallic Man | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Algebra | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luv to Win | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pressure | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Russian to Win | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ian Glass | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Luna | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Galactic Empire | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Espionage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Auto Glide | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pike Place | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vittorio | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mandolin Wind | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eastside Cool | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Drive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gasoline | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Best | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Show Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Empire Builder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Game Keeper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Paynter’s Canvas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | B Sudd | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sound Doctrine | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morunning | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous M | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Googol Joke | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dutch Mills | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Born Flawless | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nullify | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redemption Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Parkway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Searcy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gamblers Tail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pippin S.) – Pippin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taxed | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Taxed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corningstone | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Jenallie | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Neom Beach | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Duet | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Label | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pharoah’s Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tripolina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Sanders | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strike Ridge | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hess | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Cinema | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moneystrike | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chez Whiz | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Native Moonshine | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyped | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Commander | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Prince | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.