Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Hey Lil Lady |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cloudy Women |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Bad Beats |
0.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wild Rover Lady (IRE) |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pam and Tina (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stormy Paradise |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hey Lil Lady |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shore Lodge |
8.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sensational Dream |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Morning Addiction |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Broadway Tiger |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tamantari |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Honorable Gal |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady’s Sermon |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Getaway Charm |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cee’s the Image |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eyelight |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sunglow (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Canto Della Terra (IRE) |
1.20 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Abazaami (GB) |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Authentic Grace |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Headstrong Ways |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Raheeba |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atia |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Robin With a Why |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Why Behave |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run for My Honey |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Soul of a Warrior |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Hello |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Woodbine Way |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Respect the Crown |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chollima |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dance Kid |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Poker Alice |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rose Dawson |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tam’s Little Angel |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Song of Shadows |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unwritten Code |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dr. Ray D. |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mylittlerunaway |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Ivory Moon |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tianma |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
I’m Still in It |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flight to Quality (FR) |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Affair |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blue Fashion |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Union Heiress |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tom’s Star |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nellie Thursday |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiny Prancer |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Winds of Freedom |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Triple Diamonds |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cali Cat |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Machupicchu |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Whiskeyinateacup |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Maga |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Binging |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frank Bullitt |
3.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Panuco |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grey Power |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (La Canada S.) – La Canada S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cavalieri |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Musical Mischief |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alpha Bella |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chatalas |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Hug |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Che Evasora (ARG) |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Las Cienegas S.) – Las Cienegas S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Just Nails |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Laulne (FR) |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toupie |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anywho |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Lizzy |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nadette (FR) |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ma Rae’s Girl |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vitalera (CHI) |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hamwood Flier (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Halone |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ultimate Authority |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fayette Fox |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiznow Mama |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shared Future |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Epione |
6.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loretta Lynn |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Catalina Cocktail |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Uncle Evco |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Poking Around |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fairlyfondofyou |
1.20 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Don’t Have Another |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Riding By |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gray Thunder |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Exalted Ruler |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Nano |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Warren’s C J |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Falcon Wings |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speed of Elon |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.