Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alexaplayborntorun 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Zipping Molly 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Drop Dead Sexy 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Daisy de Oro 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ann’s Storm 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Gotteminabind 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Ours and Theirs 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Stormy Valentine 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Little Bit O Storm 0 0-1
3 3 She’s Single Again 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Little Bit O Storm 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Coeur Rouge 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Golden Bonita 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Birthday Girl 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Cruzin Van Nuys 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Twenty Four Grand 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Miss Louise 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Princess Kaiulani 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 My Bossy Lady 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midsummer March 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Zadorsky 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Broughty Ferry 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Kiki Krazy 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Toasted Roll 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Low Country Magic 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Starina 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 No What Ifs 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Exclusive Star 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Viva Glam 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Pretty Tapit 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Twirling Dixie 8.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Massarat 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Miss Demanding 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Continuance 20.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Reimagine 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Cafe Con Leche 10.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Runsweetly 15.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Solo Vincere 12.00 9.9 19-1
2 2 Toda Gaga 20.00 10 19-1
12 12 Something Stronger 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Aviso 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Black Dog 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Miss Authentic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Furio 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Redacted 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Great Moment 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Rachael’s Wagon 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Zardun 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Clearly Stardom 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sargent Sully 4.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Hard Spun to Run 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Big Vince 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lebowski 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Foligno 3.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Lemon Sohn 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Dream Scheme 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Street Mo 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Reagan’s Wit 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Native Runner 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tequila n’ Salt 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 El Muheet 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Marshal 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 So Sandy 4.50 7.5 14-1
12 12 Thermoscat 30.00 8.4 16-1
14 14 Scorpius 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Vekoma Kid 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Practically Given 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Admiral Dennis 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Authentic Gallop 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Vamos Carlitos 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Consecrated 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 South Bend Tom 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Sight 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Derek’s Law 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Itwillbefun 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs. Mendelssohn 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Stable Currency 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Lady Orient 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Pondering 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Anakarina 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Nomoretanlines 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 My Lil Poker Face 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Hollygrove 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 In Awe of Juju 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Afternoon Diva 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sycamore Shoals 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Trouble in Love 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Manage Xpectations 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sierra November 4.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Wayzata 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Conch Fried Rice 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Mezcal Mule 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Daring Madison 6.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Velvet Devil 15.00 8 15-1
11 11 Skiba Girl 15.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Can I Get Awitness 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.