Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Irish | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy Duke | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunite Max | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinzie Queen | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clapping Trees | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piggy Tales Up | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helen’s Revenge | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Complex Secret | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Square Baby | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brinson | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greers Ferry | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Night | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Gain | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Exton | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Andy Mort | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Get Away With It | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Remember the Fear | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crabtree | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cavanal | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rainbow Man | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reveille Valley | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Deano Run | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gloriette | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xyngin Spitfire | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sugar Bell | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Gal | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Rules | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Mother Mary | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Shipman | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Collected Glory | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Opposite the Crowd | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laura Branigan | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peppers Girlfriend | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pea Eye | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Giant Moon | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gettinby | 1.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dawn Strategy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cutting Class | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Go Go Ro Ro | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A P Ruly | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Four O Nine | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To too Twentytwo | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viney | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfecto | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Denali Lightning | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Hamazing | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Butch | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burning Leaves | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drifter | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jolly Tommy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Just Like Magic | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Memory | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asset Basis | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Granada Flavor | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy for Carmel | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canadian Game | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beealea | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Contrabandista | 10.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | American Hero | 12.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Colosi | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bron and Brow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Got Thunder | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chipofftheoldblock | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Junior Bug | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hi Yah | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Synthesis | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vulcan | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rowdy Rascal | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manta Rey | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lochmoor | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Tower | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disco Ball | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hat Willie | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Teddy | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ninja Warrior | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Aaron | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macron | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miacomet | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spankster | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inca Empire | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | C F V Bullet | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go Captain | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risk It | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eglise | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plausible Denile | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rowdy Riot | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ore Mine | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nofurtherquestions | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millers Rite | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go West Go | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Byerley Turk Overnight S.) – Byerley Turk Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Booth | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Of a Revolution | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Attache | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Osbourne | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Luck | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banishing | 1.40 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nasty Habit | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wendelssohn | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Blue | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Get Frosty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Range Life | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Georgia On E’smind | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Dazzler | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Pay No Hay | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boss On the Run | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Gasp | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Medicine Show | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palmilla’s Bet | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sending | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rosie Cotton | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zettie | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Coldasice | 4.50 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Enchanting Creek | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.