Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ocala Kid |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Running Spartan |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crazy Cavalier |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Icon |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Fabricator |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Annan |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arabian Flirt |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sand Bagger |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Leasure |
3.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Come On Buddy |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Harney Lane |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Happy Chappy |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Candyinthemorning |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Icy Mischief |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fly South |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Topper’s Chieftess |
4.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Above the Fold |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spread the Risk |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Leyas Candy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joint Venture |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coolwind |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ready to Pounce |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Touchdown Brown |
1.60 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Taishan |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mongolian Max |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
A Votre Sante |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
It’s a Factor |
20.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lazlo |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Earned Not Given |
1.40 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thirsty Vision |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Typhoon Tommy |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dynodave |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Noble Minded |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Greatful Attitude |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Roses R Blue |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crystal Proof |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Topanticipation (GB) |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pondergating |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Magic Wanderer |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sahara Sue |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Queen of the Track |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Funky Grey |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lion’s Lair |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lamporghini |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Long Mayshe Reign |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Princess Midnight |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uffda |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Diamond |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms McWhinney |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Celebration |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Activated (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Liquid Spirit |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Kitten for Sue |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thirsty in Vegas |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thirsty Mama |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knightwithlouis |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rythem Girl |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess Daddy |
4.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Faithful Truth |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chilean Bride |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Makenarita |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Preem |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Firenze Flavor |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kitty Marren |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pura Vida Princesa |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Footnote |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Leap |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Calmate |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lila |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Watershed Moment |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cause I’m Perfect |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Navy Man |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saltwater Cowboy |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Last Call London |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lone Scout |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Duran |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eastbound |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bowtie Boys |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Honeymoon Suite |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dark Marcus |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
For A Laugh (IRE) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Chasingserendipity |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jubilant Joanie |
0.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
J and M Express |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Derrygoolin |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beauty N the Bolt |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sunglasses (GB) |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chamaville |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tura Lura |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Zeyaraat |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Highlands |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Putt for Dough |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Leopardess (GB) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.