Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Samurai’s Grandson 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Goldenlute 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Empire Kid 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Skippa 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Adios Carlos 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Slither 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sammy Danseur Jr. 2.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Back Bayou 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sunset War 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gottotry Mischief 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lagunera 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Takeittothehouse 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Cigars N Cars 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Nana’s Sweet Girl 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Dreamy Deal 5.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Saint Cecile 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Water Tester 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Seitan 4.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Metallic Mischief 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 High Adventure 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Lucky Bourbon 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Clearly the Best 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Randy Daytona 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 What’s the Report 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Silent Accord 12.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Nelle Tue Mani 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miz Mastery 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Beautiful Mischief 1.40 1.1 2-1
2 2 Holiday Lines 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Railey Jean 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Grace the Kingdom 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Loving County 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 I’m a Night Train 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Knight of Honor 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mr. Ronnie 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 One More Sleep 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Count On Rain 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Whatta Life 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pal’s Alarm 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Age of Reason 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Makeithappen 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Tdz Dancinlilslew 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Gab’s Humor 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Sassi Idol 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Knocked Out 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Laryslittleracer 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Northernreflection 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fire Sword 1.60 1.7 3-1
5 5 Into Wishing 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Butler Cabin 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Calculated Luv 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dried Pepper 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Catholic Guilt 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Mr. Four Sevens 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Splotch 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Peppered Gal 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 T D Z Zodiac Queen 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Whodoyoulikehere 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Gloryland 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Laryscountrygirl 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Trakas 6.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 She’s So True 5.00 8 15-1
9 9 Back Nine 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.