Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Light Thoughts |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tale of the Tail |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hattie Carroll |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joevia’s Diva |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Three Nines Fine |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Event |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Trulli Magic |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Phonecalltoheaven |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Army Gal |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Giuliana’s Dream |
1.80 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Karley B |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Rare Society |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Street Jam |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
7 |
Belle of the Ball |
1.40 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Find Your Joy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
8 |
Last Glory |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Karen’s Honor |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carbon |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miti Fast Flower |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dolce Sera |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Luckforyou |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pionus |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s Fascinating |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rasta Girl |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Security Detail |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love You More |
1.20 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stone Cold Kelly |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stand the Rain |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Suerte |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Endeavor |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Certified Loverboy |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prove Worthy |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Confabulation |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tough Tickets |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Supreme Being |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Allaboutthemoney |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blake B. |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Union Lights |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bar Fourteen |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Retail Man |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince of Joy |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Front Man |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Air Show |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
6 |
Pam Pam |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
9 |
Spiritual Lady |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
4 |
Despo’s Dream |
1.40 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Graceful Rose |
10.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Thirteen Red Flags |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Spencer Tiara |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Grammy Girl |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Will Be Famous |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
7 |
Dazzy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Bossmakinbossmoves |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mighty Atlas |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shadow Dragon |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Kraft |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Land d’Oro |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bossmakinbossmoves |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Amedeus Music |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jackson Heights |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rock the Weekend |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.