Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Light Thoughts 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tale of the Tail 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Hattie Carroll 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Joevia’s Diva 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Three Nines Fine 3.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Royal Event 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trulli Magic 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Phonecalltoheaven 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Army Gal 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Giuliana’s Dream 1.80 3.8 7-1
6 6 Karley B 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rare Society 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Street Jam 1.40 1 2-1
1A 7 Belle of the Ball 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Find Your Joy 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 8 Last Glory 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Karen’s Honor 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Carbon 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Miti Fast Flower 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Dolce Sera 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Luckforyou 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pionus 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 She’s Fascinating 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Rasta Girl 30.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Security Detail 6.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Love You More 1.20 7.3 14-1
1 1 Stone Cold Kelly 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Stand the Rain 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Suerte 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bold Endeavor 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Certified Loverboy 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Prove Worthy 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Confabulation 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Tough Tickets 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Supreme Being 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Allaboutthemoney 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Blake B. 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Union Lights 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Bar Fourteen 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Retail Man 15.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Prince of Joy 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Front Man 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Air Show 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Pam Pam 1.40 1 2-1
8 9 Spiritual Lady 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 4 Despo’s Dream 1.40 1.2 2-1
5 5 Graceful Rose 10.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Thirteen Red Flags 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Spencer Tiara 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Grammy Girl 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 8 Will Be Famous 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 7 Dazzy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bossmakinbossmoves 0 0-1
6 6 Mighty Atlas 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Shadow Dragon 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dr. Kraft 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Land d’Oro 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Bossmakinbossmoves 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Amedeus Music 4.50 5.7 11-1
5 5 Jackson Heights 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Rock the Weekend 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.