Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Missneversatisfied 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moion 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Carolina Jacy 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Chacha to Catalina 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sho Nuff 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Secretly Sweet 3.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Kisster 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sheza Salty Gal 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Discreet Deal 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Talkabout 20.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Dee’s Lil Fool 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Empire of Gold 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Voodoo Zip 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Solidify 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Axel Steel 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lagoon 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Hap Hot 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Show Respect 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Littlebitofaqueen 3.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Double Cute 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Day Storm 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Easton’s Moon 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Rememberin Ronald 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Lainesonduty 4.50 7.6 14-1
2 2 E R’s Mireya 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dr Stricklands Ace 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Follow the Saint 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Custom Candy 3.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Deal Me a Penny 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Cherry Star 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Easy Bet 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Lady Be Gone 10.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Hey Madalyn Claire 5.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 I’m All Mixed Up 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Starbuck Luck 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Muffin Nuts 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Flashing Angelbaby 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Affirm Chief 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Andiamo Giacomo 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hello Hello Mister 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sniveling 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Monitor Mills 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Big Rojo 2.50 8.9 17-1
10 10 Nasty Exaggerator 10.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 State of the Union 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Museum Quality 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Donegal Freedom 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 That’s Apriority 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Donegal Moonshine 3.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Konawa 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Look West 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Star Apriority 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jubella 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Perfect Wish 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Majestic Ways 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Best Performer 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Another Hot Mess 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Roya 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Forgotten Fortune 5.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 My Lucky Break 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kokomo Starlet 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Taka 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 La Cantaros 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Red Revenger 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Sweetheart Vision 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Shelley’s Rose 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 China 8.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 R Secret Love 8.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Niceproblemtohave 12.00 8.7 17-1
2 2 Brand Bois 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.