Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hot Golden Girl 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bitsy Perfectmatch 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Real Deal Ryan 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Mrs. Necaise 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Steal Me Over 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Bless d’South 10.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Sum Charm 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Boucane 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Numero Siete 0.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Shako 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Rayfield 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Rosenow 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Puckster 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Music Mill 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tribest (ARG) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sister Saint 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Miss Harmonic 1.80 3.8 7-1
6 6 Trouble Free 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bikini Bottom 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Esme 4.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Lofty Heights 5.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Cabo Cowgirl 30.00 9 17-1
7 7 Oak Hill Seniorita 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Storm the Streets 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Reteko 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Raising Kane 15.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Porches 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Passion Rules 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Tested 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Nothingbutbluesky 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Batter Up 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Sole Lute 10.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Frosty Blue 15.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Our Favorite Son 5.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Justawalkinthepark 10.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Martingale 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Catchyalater 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Tapit Quick 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 J Bear Beach 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Daring Hope 3.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 Reya Sunshine 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Concentration 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kake’s Arrow 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Ez Roll 5.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Now and Later 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 C’Est Magnifique 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Gorilla Trek 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Moddassah 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 If I Were You 15.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Kick a Buck 4.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Wicked Secret 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Faith Runner 15.00 8.9 17-1
14 14 Cloud Forest 4.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Max Is G Money 20.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Malibu Rain 20.00 10.9 21-1
13 13 Gorostieta’s Love 30.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 M L Brody’s Gem 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gold Thief 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Final Half 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Me Promesa 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Dubaian Money 4.50 7 13-1
5 5 Watchingtime 8.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Jonas Grumby 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Last Resolve 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Big Marv 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Hope 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smokey Mandate 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Relampago Verde 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Idratherbeblessed 3.50 7.5 14-1
3 3 Towering Storm 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Eff Thirty Five 10.00 8 15-1
11 11 Winston Wolf 12.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Dai Vernon 12.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Le Gris 12.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Tough Little Nut 4.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Winters Lion 5.00 10.5 20-1
14 14 Lightline 4.50 11.4 22-1
6 6 Tide of the Sea 20.00 12.1 23-1
10 10 No White Flags 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Deal of Faith 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Herb Elias 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Bobby Two Shot’s 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dr Speck 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cat County 4.50 6.9 13-1
10 10 Mackay Boy 8.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Twice as Sassi 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Forest Beast 20.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Computerized 6.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Battle Face 20.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Caughtupndamoment 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.