Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Complex Secret |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Clapping Trees |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Clapping Trees |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Irish |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Clapping Trees |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gunite Max |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Complex Secret |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kinzie Queen |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daisy Duke |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kentucky Smokeshow |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Square Baby |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Helen’s Revenge |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Piggy Tales Up |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Crabtree |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Big Gain |
|
0 |
0-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Gain |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brinson |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greers Ferry |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rocket Night |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sir Exton |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Remember the Fear |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Andy Mort |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Crabtree |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run Deano Run |
30.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
13 |
13 |
Get Away With It |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Rainbow Man |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Reveille Valley |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Cavanal |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Gloriette |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spirit Rules |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Divine Gal |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Mother Mary |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sugar Bell |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Collected Glory |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Laura Branigan |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Xyngin Spitfire |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Shipman |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Opposite the Crowd |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Peppers Girlfriend |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Gettinby |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Pea Eye |
30.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
A P Ruly |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dawn Strategy |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
To too Twentytwo |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Viney |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cutting Class |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Denali Lightning |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Captain Hamazing |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Go Go Ro Ro |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfecto |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Butch |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Four O Nine |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Giant Moon |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drifter |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burning Leaves |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Candy for Carmel |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Granada Flavor |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Asset Basis |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jolly Tommy |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beealea |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Canadian Game |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cool Memory |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Just Like Magic |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Contrabandista |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Colosi |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
American Hero |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Jackman |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bron and Brow |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Got Thunder |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vulcan |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chipofftheoldblock |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wind of Change (BRZ) |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hi Yah |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Synthesis |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Manta Rey |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Junior Bug |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Rowdy Rascal |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Devil’s Tower |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Lochmoor |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Hat Willie |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Disco Ball |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Giant Teddy |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lochmoor |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ninja Warrior |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Devil’s Tower |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miacomet |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Macron |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Spankster |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
C F V Bullet |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Aaron |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Inca Empire |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Miracle Worker |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Go Captain |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Risk It |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eglise |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Plausible Denile |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rowdy Riot |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Millers Rite |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miracle Worker |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ore Mine |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Go West Go |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nofurtherquestions |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Byerley Turk Overnight S.) – Byerley Turk Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Banishing |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Osbourne |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gold Luck |
20.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wendelssohn |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Booth |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Of a Revolution |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nasty Habit |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Major Blue |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Attache |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Range Life |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sending |
30.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Get Frosty |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Last Gasp |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
No Pay No Hay |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Palmilla’s Bet |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Boss On the Run |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Dazzler |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Rosie Cotton |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Medicine Show |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zettie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Georgia On E’smind |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Coldasice |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Enchanting Creek |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.