Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sasafran 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Orange Thunder 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Z’s Wardrobe 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Renatus 4.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Co Heart 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Lady Mendelssohn 3.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Mrazek’s Old Dream 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Hearts Fantasy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Care for Autism 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Autism Inspiration 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Misty Dancer 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Sensational Z Z 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Full Moon Grazen 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Rosie Tinkerbell 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Walk’n the Beach 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majestic Palisades 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Osage Creek 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Malibu Rocks 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Excel Calculator 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Broadway Unions 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Guaguarero 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mongolian Gold 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Run Baba Run 0 0-1
2 2 Majestic Cotton 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Run Baba Run 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 One Big Smile 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Steve’s Big Ticket 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Candy’s Wildcat 3.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Hot Goblin 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Beau Brume 30.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Six Hot Grands 15.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Galloping Major 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Maria Tallchief 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 How About Pavel 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Go Cami Oh 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Guiltyofhavingfun 2.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Hello Kid O Kid O 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Maga Kai 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Big Whoosh 3.50 8 15-1
1 1 Hula Prancer 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucky Sermon 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Daddygaveittome 30.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tapatia Leah 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Spotted Haze 0.80 5.4 10-1
7 7 So Flashy 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dixie Allure 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Queen of Jazz 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Kulbit 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Queen Maxima 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Shuangxi (IRE) 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Real Fire 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Kitty Kitana (GB) 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Egyptian Mau (SAF) 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Royal Charter (GB) 4.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Normandy Queen 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nene Diamond 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Big Pop 1.40 1.4 3-1
1 1 No Cap 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Quick Kate 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Chasing Kat 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Handsome Ticket 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Oscar Joy 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Travelin’ Show 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bolt Supremacy 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Schwarzmeier 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Sir Maximus 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bruckner 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Naftis 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.