Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sasafran |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Orange Thunder |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Z’s Wardrobe |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Renatus |
4.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Co Heart |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Mendelssohn |
3.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mrazek’s Old Dream |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hearts Fantasy |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Care for Autism |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Autism Inspiration |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Misty Dancer |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sensational Z Z |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Full Moon Grazen |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rosie Tinkerbell |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Walk’n the Beach |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Majestic Palisades |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Osage Creek |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Malibu Rocks |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Excel Calculator |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Unions |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Guaguarero |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mongolian Gold |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Run Baba Run |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Majestic Cotton |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Baba Run |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
One Big Smile |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Steve’s Big Ticket |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Candy’s Wildcat |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Goblin |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beau Brume |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Six Hot Grands |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Galloping Major |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Maria Tallchief |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
How About Pavel |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Cami Oh |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Guiltyofhavingfun |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hello Kid O Kid O |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maga Kai |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Whoosh |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hula Prancer |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Sermon |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Daddygaveittome |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tapatia Leah |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spotted Haze |
0.80 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
So Flashy |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dixie Allure |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Queen of Jazz |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kulbit |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Queen Maxima |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shuangxi (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Real Fire |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kitty Kitana (GB) |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Egyptian Mau (SAF) |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Charter (GB) |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Normandy Queen |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Nene Diamond |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Pop |
1.40 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Cap |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quick Kate |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chasing Kat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Handsome Ticket |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oscar Joy |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Travelin’ Show |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bolt Supremacy |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Schwarzmeier |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sir Maximus |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bruckner |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Naftis |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.