Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 24, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Looking for Ginny 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 My Angel 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 That’sthefactjack 1.80 3.3 6-1
3 3 Exotic Cat 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Gouldian 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Sherman’s Marlin 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stormin Sammy 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Steel Vengeance 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Melancia 1.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Man From Malta 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Bobby Bob 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Jace Is No Joke 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Magnolia Midnight 4.00 1 2-1
5 4 Midnight Trouble 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Magnificent Mile 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lost in Rome 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Bramito 3.50 3.3 6-1
1A 7 Kahala 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 5 Alternate Reality 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Enigmatic 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Patty Van Twinkle 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 She’s Cool 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Shehanah 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Beira 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Gregorian Solo 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Moonlit Weekend 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Lu’s Redemption 1.60 1 2-1
3 2 Freud’s Fancy 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Sunset Park 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Hayes Bay 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 7 My Gorgeous 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 The Splendid One 15.00 5.9 11-1
1A 8 Lucky and Gorgeous 3.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 One Good Raison 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Chasing Daylight 3.00 1 2-1
7 8 Snappin Buttons 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Embraceable Gal 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 7 First Class Cat 5.00 4 8-1
3 2 Valentine Gift 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Brooklyn Dantz 5.00 7.2 14-1
1A 6 Book of Wisdom 3.00 7.3 14-1
2 1 Mommasgottagun 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Timaeus 4.00 1 2-1
5 4 Smile Mon 1.00 1.2 2-1
4 3 J J’s Joker 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Scat Tu Tap 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 8 Mo Rewards 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 7 Blame It On Daddy 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Houlton 8.00 4.5 9-1
1A 6 Hours in a Day 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Omey Island 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cattani 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Drive Thru 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Wind Dancer 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 A Knight’s Courage 20.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Break the Fall 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Shore Time 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 12 Flying in Style 12.00 5 10-1
12 13 Braca 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Swept 50.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Billy and Pete 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Dreamalongwithme 30.00 6.9 13-1
1A 11 Solo Flight 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.