Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Stolen Bullet |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cat Ate the Canary |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aubree’s Halo |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Surprise Sunrise |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eve Eve |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chimes Lake |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Critical Velocity |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Broke Draw |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Thirteen |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Double Gem |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saucy Gem |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baby Jane |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sugar Cane Gal |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beulah K |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
La Deal |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Diamond Deal |
2.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen of the Moon |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holiday Double |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mallory’s Ocean |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Louisiana Boss |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Special Star |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Deelitesandimsum |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
My First Deal |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gabbys Bling |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scootin’ Boots |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Karnes |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Real Thrill |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Not Free |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beach Trippin |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Relic Hunter |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Blast |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daddy’s Finest |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reginald Aurelius |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Loudthundrhevyrain |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Triple Red Aces |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jamaican Me |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bad Brad |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mymanrowen |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
True Jedi |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Top Priority |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dream Trap |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sorcerer’s Girl |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Cost |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’smysmokeshow |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blue Ridge Romance |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Apriority Catch |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Amen |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
El Caliente Lady |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Geaux Vote |
4.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Savannah’s Here |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Nora’s Legacy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brave Ollie |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hardly Mischievous |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Be a Bandit |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rain |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aunt Irene |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Katie’s Karat |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Trip |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Bitsy C C Lil Girl |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mischievous Smile |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spamalot |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Practically Given |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Feather Laine |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ayden’s Edge |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Keep Up the Pace |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Follow the Star |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just Nate |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arkansauce |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Film At Eleven |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Summertime Peppers |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pegaso |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bouldering |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heavenly Deal |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Run Carlos |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Steauxlit |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Connectique |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Majestic Palace |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pennys Deal |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bellamy Brother |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mississippi Co. |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trips to Win |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Magic Bind |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cajun Country |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
A Fool for Carlos |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Target Ready |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Houstons Eagle |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
My Pal Sky |
10.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dixie’s Astro |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Easy Eddie A |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Not Likely |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.