Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 24, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Handsome Harold 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Catalina Day 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Nervy 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Maladjusted Misfit 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gatsby’s Fortune 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Shawn’s Solving 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Star Ready 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Byathread 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cookn Wit Catman 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Regimental 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hexcel 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Prince Is My Boy 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Smoothdini 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Impeccability 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Rooster Run 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Daryl’s Bolt 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Boitano 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Super Wise 20.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Z Z’s Prince 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Notion 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 My Bariley 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Firewater Jake 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Temple 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dapper Dude 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Shady McGee (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Distinctive 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lily’s Creed 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Dashyns Dream 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Rock Star Doctor 3.50 6.1 12-1
3 3 Roll Gypsy Roll 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Dre Me Less 4.50 6.6 12-1
6 6 Flowersforshantell 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Coinmaker 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 No Nannette No 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Map Out 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Curls Nite Out 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Acousticat 4.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Blushing Kam 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Tartaria 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Add to Cart 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Combattante 20.00 8.7 17-1
9 9 Beamer 15.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Jewish Mother 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Embrasser 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lolo’s Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cheval B 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fuego K 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ez Tree Ates 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Romany Road 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Midnight Mary 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Court Jester 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Brittany’s Dream 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tambourine Star 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 The Boss Soss 3.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Syvestar 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dude Drop Kid 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Deal With It Daddy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
English Chunnel 0 0-1
3 3 Storm Ready 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 English Chunnel 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 King Rosso 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Seaville 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Rampagius 12.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Spielman 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Marcus Gift 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Warp Nine 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Initialize 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Hard Par 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Finn McSorley 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Berkus (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crawfish Burl 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fret No More 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Mo Vista 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Global Value 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sir Sawyer 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Viv Loves Lucy 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Avie Cakes 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Wicked Sailor 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Kisses for Cooper 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.