Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buds Island | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Align | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buds Island | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | World On Fire | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatbed Ford | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tuff Luck | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monochrome | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlit Frost | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Two Day | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Irish Hero | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cybertime | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Banditsgoldenchild | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hammer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Win No Joke | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Enchilada | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Renegade | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sisyphus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lyric Street | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wikolia Lady | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Estocada | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Trade | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chattolanee Spring | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gottahoppertunity | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seven’s Magic | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margo’s Margarita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Suga Steve | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palm Island | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prado Road | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swifty Devil | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Child | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disputed Claim | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Not So Holy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Divino Nino | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Needy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jay | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sneaking Suspicion | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Heights | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bermuda Run | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischief Mogul | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Box of Rockets | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Discreet Ops | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Dream Chaser | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Angel Art | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Di’s Surprise | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dissolute | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Talk to the Judge | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Western Lane | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Peppermint Class | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stop the Cap | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 8 | Profitunity | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slam Notion | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shootersgottashoot | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nola Boss | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipotle | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Humor | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artillery Gunnar | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerness K | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mission First | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Derbyness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In the Dance | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Must Be Love | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Synonym | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omar Comin | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crossland | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Lance | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Jefferson | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running River | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jasiel | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alvy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ithinkiloveyou | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Big Earn | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wine and Roses | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ithinkiloveyou | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Wicked Smart | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chardan | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Beer | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meg | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.