Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dynamis | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Corn | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Independent Paul | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Blank | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks Frank | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gluckstadt | 1.60 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw Run | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rev Too | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yeagers Strategy | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cherokee Will | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Preacher’s Kid | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stauf | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Rainy Day | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Affixed | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chances Taken | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rerun | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southfork | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trident Hit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camp David | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eastside Cool | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bright Leaf | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Logical Myth | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Best | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Law | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | What a Blessing | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simovic | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viking | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Member | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Handsome Herb | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Bid | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lambo | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Decision | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Message | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Drinker | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Own the Field | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Ask Watts | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patch O’Brien | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fight’n Ready | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Husker Butch | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Over Egbert | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ain’t That a Kick | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cawkab | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hey Boss | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rock Star Parking | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Mule | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charmonte | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Arcade | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trafalgar Shore | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blazingly | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Donya Know It | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rollin Chrome | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icy River | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Penny | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitiara | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nullarbor | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ben Diesel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kattath | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | That’s Something | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atomic Tone | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Hot Rod | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Right Tone | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sunrise Drive | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rowdy Rascal | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | W W Crazy | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiwanaku | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chaos Reigns | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Boss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tee Burns | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principe Carlo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smokin’ Hot | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tie Breaker | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pittsburgh | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Family Tradition | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | All West | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tin Badge | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Profile | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cost Basis | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Man On the Moon | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Super Brady | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Johnny Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Worth Looking | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redemption Time | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Vino | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sutherland | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Dream Rye’d | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s Up Doc | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Redemption Time | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charleston | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interlock Empire | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brilliant Man | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Keeper | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Funny Uncle | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milliganmikeandme | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Gold Strategy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sistersouttachrome | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arr Piratetreasure | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Music | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runninthestreets | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Addie | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Milliganmikeandme | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmere Baby | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Woopig | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildwood Queen | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Principal Anita | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Summorya | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Q’s Your Mama | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.