Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Film Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Phileas Fogg | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Law Professor | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curbstone | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Dreams | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Gun It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Givememythememusic | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Omaha Pistol | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | We Miss Neil | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dear Chairman | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Dragon | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Givememythememusic | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Cash | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capt Jax Parrow | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Interborough S.) – Interborough S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | St. Benedicts Prep | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Socially Selective | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scalable | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cara’s Time | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caldwell Luvs Gold | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dame Cinco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Just Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Darn That Song | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It Takes Heart | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jackie the Joker | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collect Dattt | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Avenue | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everlys Girl | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trade Secret | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | York Tavern | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aleah Aleah | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Purchase | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Mendelssohn | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irie Man | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solo Empire | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ollie Can Dance | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Basic Truth | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | All Class | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Striker Has Dial | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justthefactsjack | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Lady Mine | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Killy Start | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Moth | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | I’mhavingamoment | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Sarir | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giant’s Audible | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Roberta | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Giant’s Audible | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin to Rock | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey in the Bank | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty of War | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Wildcat Annie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Fifi La Fume | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wave | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Lilac | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Frankie Hiccups | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Chase | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Locke and Key | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Colloquy | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cut the Cord | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Global Perspective | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Reynolds Channel | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Pirate | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Still a Soldier | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Chileno | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 6 | Stronsino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Trade Imbalance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Man Magoo | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Radauti | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tracking Error | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Munden | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kulapat | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magnanimous Max | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nico’s Derby Run | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superpower | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Spun | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.