Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 25, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sharp Flame 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Candy Oak 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ize a Blast 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Ms. Lilibet 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Classic Claire 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Storms of Life 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Super Stormy 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sunday Tiff 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Signing 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Flight Control 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Peak Earnings (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Speedy One 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Righteous Freedom 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Petitfor 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Razz 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vero Campione 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Colt’s Brim 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sunny Sassicaia 4.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Puppeteer 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Daddy Hey Daddy 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Starsnmotion 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jus Press Star 8.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 War Tourist 3.00 5.3 10-1
16 16 Miss Rosie 4.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Grace and Mercy 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Kathlyns Phalanx 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pat Hand Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Grace Hazel 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Country Lady 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mia Antonia 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tensas Lucy 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 In B. J.’s Honor 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Back Street Baby 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 From Scratch 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Emilyhasherturn 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Contraband Early 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Daddy’s Code 12.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Temple of Peace 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 You Good 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Witchology 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Rexinator 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Mister Dennis 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Aries Honor 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Prince Liam 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Casilda 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 McKinzie Magic 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Mustique 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Royal Princess 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Peppermint Bites 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Can I Get Awitness 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rare Ruby 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Otra Cosa 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Astrologysprotege 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Young Tuscan 5.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 F T W Slam 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Prodigy Paradise 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Yockey’s Drivethru 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sono 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Feeling Beachy 0 0-1
12 12 Churning Berni 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sophie’s Cruiser 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Feeling Beachy 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Trust Fund Baby 30.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Hope Mission 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Kazillion 20.00 5.1 10-1
13 13 Ash Wednesday 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Pioneer Mission 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Whimsically 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Lady of Power 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Machiva 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Positive Carry (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fancy Quality (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grand Academic 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Somekinda Mischief 12.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Purple Heart 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Butcher Holler 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Woodaz 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Our Favorite Son 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Lick Skillet 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Friendly Charlie 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dune a Vetta 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classic Performer 15.00 1 2-1
11 11 Beads 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Vibrant Lady 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Venomous Vixen 8.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 War Siren (FR) 3.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Notable Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Candy Bar 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Just the Sky 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Urban Star 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ragtime Lady 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Smooth Waves 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 For Love and Honor 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 La Foret 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steel Argument 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Le Monstre Rapide 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Star Byfar 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Causeway Benny 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Take Charge J J 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Native Star 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Totally Addicted 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Josan 50.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Catchin Drama 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mysterious Spirit 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.