Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gewurztraminer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lat Long | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Heist | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B D Saints | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paynter’s Canvas | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Target | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baddest Good Boy | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Strike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bedard | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | La Houligan | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Baranof | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Knicks Glory | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ripped | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shinigami | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fever Night | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Limit | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shepherd | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rapture | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hwy Twenty Ride | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liam’s Song | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oy Gevald | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goodasiwonswas | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Great Richie M | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big City | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gunflash | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sitka | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lightning Struck | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Anthonian | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breslau | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lundberg | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | I’m Wide Awake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Run Jalen Run | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | March of Time | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bishops Bay | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unload | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mackman | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Woodcourt | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Underhill’s Tab | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yellow Brick | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maximus Magic | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Aaron | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zatara | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Truculent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arrowthegreat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (King Cotton S.) – King Cotton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Is a Choice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gulfport | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tejano Twist | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edge to Edge | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miles Ahead | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Durante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (General Macarthur Overnight S.) – General Macarthur Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kinetic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Greylind | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonka Warrior | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Trouble | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurry Hurry | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Minister | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carolo Rapido | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fifth Season S.) – Fifth Season S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brunacini | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Wine Steward | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Gal | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Machine Gun Man | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raise Cain | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot Spirit | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberal Arts | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Henro | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inca Empire | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bugler Overnight S.) – Bugler Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pistol | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Rose | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Spa | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Makeup | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tanya Showers | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Condensation | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mischievous Gal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Moscato | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always Angels | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Insensitive | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pharoah’s Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dealing Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Harbor Springs | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Martha Washington S.) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quietside | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gowells Delight | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adeera | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Empress | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Milady | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Her Laugh | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Southwest S.) – Southwest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patch Adams | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Gaming | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Speed King | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patch Adams | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiztastic | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Publisher | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Promise | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandman | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monet’s Magic | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Temps | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Render Judgment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Prestigio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zat’s the One | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Legend | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaminblue | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Max Got Excited | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can Do Andrew | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volt | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Poppa Echo | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Classic | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oil Capital | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fanatical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Semper Primus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Two Dollar Eddie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bote | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time Andbeyond | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Country Boy | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Russian | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devils Fork | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paramount Paycheck | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Randy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miracle Mack | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lake of Fire | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four O Nine | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tizmarkus | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | God’s Country | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Streakin Deacon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.