Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Odies Memory Lane | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | America’s Mark | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Om N Joy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tropical Rain Day | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thetribehasspoken | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Shelia | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sexy Blue | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waltz Across Texas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazing Bardot | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Matina | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wishes to Riches | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Affair | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Someone Like You | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Bardot | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sophie Jean | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semper Invictus | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Santarena | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Park | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Cowgirl | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extensive | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Concord Bridge | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stockbridge | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Semper Invictus | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lead Pipe Joe | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | San Saba | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modus Bestia | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Is West | 30.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Attack Now | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Varney | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Pipe Joe | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Father Ted | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Western Avenue | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Reflection | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Book Smart | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zeus’ War | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Rinca | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Into It | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Apollo | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Royalty | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Halo Rando | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Horse Doctor | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Its Thievery | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tesoro | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Right Hand Ryder | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drinks At the Club | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lessons of Autism | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wine and Whisky | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Satanta | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bobby’s Alibi | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Lad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Granitiansevensix | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forty Niner Gold | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naismith | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tallis | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yogi Boy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizz a Good Thing | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Lucas | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bronko Nagurski | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Salute | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Everydayissaturday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | New York Dreams (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Pasqual S.) – San Pasqual S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dont Fight the Fed | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Imagination | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dont Fight the Fed | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tarantino | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katonah | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Mammoth | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Express Train | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Admiral | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nobel Gary | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver N Black | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truehood | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arromax | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Mustache | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Artist Point | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Billy Joe Shaver | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ignatowski | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Audible Silence | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Ring | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crone Zone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ima Joker | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Everything Bugs Me | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Lake | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star of The Night (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Faith Understood | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Gal (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Control Function | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Mama Sue | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strutting (GB) | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.