Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sugar Buzz |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Light Forever |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Quizler |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royces Ride |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Otter Mischief |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gunnery Sergeant |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Winning Fortune |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fighting Words |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bolt to Run |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ruiz Junior |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Midnight Boss |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Triunvirato |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blazing Hot |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Isaac Leo |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Triunvirato |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Renege |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wineman Trax |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Song So Sweet |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Romero |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Theo’s Thunder |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Georgeisimportant |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cosmic Impact |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gayles Evening |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heir to the Roar |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mywifeknowsitall |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Above the Limit |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peach Cobbler |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baby Blocks |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Warda |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
One of One |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Galley Head |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Vayesta |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Foxy Lady |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Insanity It Seems |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bernardo’s Legacy |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frosty Shop |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharpazano |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tricky Tiger |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sehr Schoen |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Seeking to Collect |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Amadeus |
3.50 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischief Exposed |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leo Fong |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cut’em Loose |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mister Cooper |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Lord of War |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swan Lake |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Honesto |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elusive Knight |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Doorman |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
McMoney |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Speight’spercomete |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Momza |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gentleman Gerry |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Tiz a Prince |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winning Factor |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Infamous Covert |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Forwardly |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fredo |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
King d’Oro |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mister Abarrio |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Inflation Nation (IRE) |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Modica |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Causin’ Mayhem |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Royal Salute |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twowaycrossing |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Corruption |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Boy Tony |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
No Escape |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Human Desire |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Murabeh |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Escape |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adventurist |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiger Twenty Four |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mahovlich |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Solid Left |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bitter Banker |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Anybody But You (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swoonatra |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Kalispera (IRE) |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Diamond Vega (GB) |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Madame Mischief |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dea Matrona (FR) |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
West Loop |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perilous |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Biloxi Blues |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arch Street |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Katies a Lady |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Spinning Colors |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Movin’ On Up |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Billal |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swirvin |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bold Journey |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cyclone Mischief |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Skylight |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Counterspy |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loco Abarrio |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Born Flashy |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Red State |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jefe de Obra (CHI) |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Born Flashy |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
15 |
15 |
High Limit Room |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Speed Figures |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Esperon |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Asher’s Edge |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heymackit’sjack |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Banneker |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Playground Legend |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Masked Man |
30.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Omaha City |
30.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
16 |
16 |
Vamos Viejo |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Street Rod |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Tap Gold |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Chess Master |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Moon Gate |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classic Q |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Champagne Brunch |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Veronika Z |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Snipsnippitysnip |
10.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brown Sugar |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Candy Buzz |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Olivia Valentina |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bee Cat |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starship Nautilus |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Added Touch |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Romina |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
15 |
15 |
Sara’s Rose |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
No Mo Cookies |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Miavana |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Without a Pout (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.