Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Tell Deren | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G’s Fireball | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Houlihan | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Sox | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freccia d’Argento | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beachgrass | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Heidelberg | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coal Mine | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Haunted Room | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Bit Risky | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Daddy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Up in Flames | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Paulie P | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kissling | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiny Lake | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scott Twentytwo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Levisa | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Utterly Enchanting | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Genieinabridle | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Beauty | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Molly of Stratford | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Temper | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yumyum Eat Em Up | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Try It Again | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Early Frost | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Gift | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sister Supream | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Charm | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vodkatini | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viennese Waltz | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bailintin | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daily Planet | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Sue | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn d’Oro | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Sir Chance a Lot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mikes Mo Town | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mersin Heat | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Spy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnjackjimjaye | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Severn Run | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Praline | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Finn d’Oro | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let Fly | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doug’s Triumph | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Institution | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ade | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Candy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thunder in Paris | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casa Juanita | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curl N Rod | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pootoogook | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Aurora | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Itsamonstamash | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sandi Sue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Loveumom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coffeewithchris | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1A | 9 | Splendor Beauty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Afraidofthebunny | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sagrada Ray | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tops the Chart | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coffeewithchris | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Martin | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speargun | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hornbeam | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jayjaydee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Worcester | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Wait Up | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheriff Ronnie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radical Right | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Caesar | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point Dume | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magic Michael | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Dawk | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mindtap | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bouncer | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Vine | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cataleya Strike | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Armando R | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Fleet | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Defined Boundaries | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Salute | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Diversion | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bye Bye Wicked Eye | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brewmaster | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Repeatingofcourse | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gee Power | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honors Due | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | City Panda | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.