Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rocco Strong | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mad Adam | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Face Value | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khozy My Boy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nepal Up | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boogie Bode | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colosi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blaze On | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saranac Lake | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interstella | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Templar Red | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marshside Mama | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Enticing | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miesha | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peppers Girlfriend | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Commander | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Super Brady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Larry’s Legend | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Bryan | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chapel Barn | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deflater | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holding Pattern | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out Run’m | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aheadofthegame | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Jack | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stomping Hotrod | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Espionage | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raymond | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Martini Blu | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knicks Story | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worth Looking | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Diablo Rojo | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ram | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lemon Drop Shot | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verb | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Farley Hall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Piquant | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Complex Music | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waco | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Fantasy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gryphon | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maverama | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haunted Flame | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Towner Too | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Calamity | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boujee Beach | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Aliyah | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St. Albans Raid | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gloryibee | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Necessity | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Plaza Cue | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Achieve | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Miracle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Muse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konteekee | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Airborne Elite | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’ll Do | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pass Line | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Line | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quarrymen | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Konteekee | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Statler | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Bird | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Redbird Nation | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Improbable First | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Seeker | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Parkway | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clear Echo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cruise Missile | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Vow | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Stormin | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Georgia On E’smind | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Alex | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karson Kay | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Reader | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Line Runner | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nandina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curvino | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Pants | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brodeur | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curvino | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capo Luca | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Joker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bout Tree Fiddy | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out N Out Disgrace | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Much | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Chief Liam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Optical | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Amor Patriae | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Changing Times | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cybertown | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stuck N Snow | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brahms Image | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Shoes | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debater | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s Randy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Holus Bolus | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hoppin John | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Heavenly Gift | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Great Barrier | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spoonman | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Moneystrike | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Burlsworth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.