Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sum Charm 0 0-1
3 3 Bitsy Perfectmatch 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hot Golden Girl 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Real Deal Ryan 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Steal Me Over 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sum Charm 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Mrs. Necaise 3.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Bless d’South 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 La Boucane 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Numero Siete 0.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Shako 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Rosenow 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Rayfield 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Puckster 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Music Mill 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Trouble Free 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tribest (ARG) 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Sister Saint 20.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Esme 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Miss Harmonic 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bikini Bottom 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lofty Heights 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Oak Hill Seniorita 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cabo Cowgirl 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Storm the Streets 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Raising Kane 15.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Batter Up 15.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Frosty Blue 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Passion Rules 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Tested 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sole Lute 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Justawalkinthepark 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Reteko 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Porches 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Our Favorite Son 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Nothingbutbluesky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Martingale 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Catchyalater 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 J Bear Beach 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tapit Quick 3.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Reya Sunshine 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Daring Hope 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Concentration 5.00 1 2-1
14 14 Cloud Forest 4.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Now and Later 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Faith Runner 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Moddassah 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 If I Were You 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Gorilla Trek 15.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Gorostieta’s Love 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 C’Est Magnifique 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kake’s Arrow 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Wicked Secret 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kick a Buck 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ez Roll 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Malibu Rain 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Max Is G Money 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gold Thief 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dubaian Money 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Final Half 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Me Promesa 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 M L Brody’s Gem 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Last Resolve 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Big Marv 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Jonas Grumby 12.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Watchingtime 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Lightline 4.50 1 2-1
13 13 Winters Lion 5.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Relampago Verde 8.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Winston Wolf 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Le Gris 12.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Dai Vernon 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Tide of the Sea 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Idratherbeblessed 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 No White Flags 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Smokey Mandate 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Towering Storm 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tough Little Nut 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 American Hope 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Eff Thirty Five 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bobby Two Shot’s 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Deal of Faith 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Herb Elias 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Dr Speck 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cat County 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Mackay Boy 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Computerized 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Battle Face 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Twice as Sassi 30.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Caughtupndamoment 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Forest Beast 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.