Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sum Charm |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bitsy Perfectmatch |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Golden Girl |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Real Deal Ryan |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Steal Me Over |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sum Charm |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mrs. Necaise |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bless d’South |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
La Boucane |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Numero Siete |
0.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shako |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rosenow |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rayfield |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Puckster |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Music Mill |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Trouble Free |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tribest (ARG) |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sister Saint |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Esme |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Harmonic |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bikini Bottom |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lofty Heights |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oak Hill Seniorita |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cabo Cowgirl |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Storm the Streets |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Raising Kane |
15.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Batter Up |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Frosty Blue |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Passion Rules |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tested |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sole Lute |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Justawalkinthepark |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reteko |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Porches |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Our Favorite Son |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Nothingbutbluesky |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Martingale |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Catchyalater |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
J Bear Beach |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tapit Quick |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reya Sunshine |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daring Hope |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Concentration |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Cloud Forest |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Now and Later |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Faith Runner |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moddassah |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
If I Were You |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gorilla Trek |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Gorostieta’s Love |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
C’Est Magnifique |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Kake’s Arrow |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Wicked Secret |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Kick a Buck |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Ez Roll |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Malibu Rain |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Max Is G Money |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Gold Thief |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dubaian Money |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Final Half |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Me Promesa |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
M L Brody’s Gem |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Last Resolve |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Big Marv |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jonas Grumby |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Watchingtime |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Lightline |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Winters Lion |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Relampago Verde |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Winston Wolf |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Le Gris |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dai Vernon |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tide of the Sea |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Idratherbeblessed |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
No White Flags |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Smokey Mandate |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Towering Storm |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Tough Little Nut |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
American Hope |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Eff Thirty Five |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bobby Two Shot’s |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deal of Faith |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Herb Elias |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr Speck |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cat County |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mackay Boy |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Computerized |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Battle Face |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twice as Sassi |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Caughtupndamoment |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Forest Beast |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.