Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Darvesh |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
October Bliss |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hey River |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Imaginized |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clancy O’Toole |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Running Cat |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hey What’s Up |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fenwick Jack |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fast Payday |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
McMagic |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
I’m Not a Baby |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Zamboni Warrior |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Flashy Alex |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Dance a Dini |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Yes Point |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Renegade Serenade |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Wicklow Pooka |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Up N Runnin |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s Justified |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Joyful Joyce |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Carousel Queen |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Butter Bee Quick |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen Khaleesi |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Addieaddiebobaddie |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
West Side Diva |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Miss Raucus |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gruene Hall |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Laugh Like Lucy |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Kashmir Witch |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Gingersayschill |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Nimmo |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leigh’s Last Hero |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cauteloso |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Marine Patrol |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Josh |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hundred Proof |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gold Bling |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mad Maxey |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Celestial Dark |
10.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Texas Air Force |
3.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sunny Side Up |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Emily’s On Fire |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Treasure Peace |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Angel of Harlem |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bruno Barber Girl |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Annabelle |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Far too Foxy |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweetest Moment |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chance Occurrence |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Swans Island |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ron Don Scorese |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Assembly Point (BRZ) |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Warrior’s Vendetta |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vine Jet |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Artistic Reason |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Balantyne |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jacohare |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Youbetterbejoking |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Copperhead Creek |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Level Up |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Roadtriptonowhere |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Traffic Master |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Socially Awkward |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keithsendshelloooo |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smoke Wagon |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hey Porter |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince Colton |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ira the Icon |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Check My Six |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zippy Gizmo |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lucky Dude |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Captain Whiner |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dadoo |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alyvia Mavis |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spunderella |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wouldja Couldja |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mischief Maxey |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vague |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spooky Gal |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marelow |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brilliant Disguise |
8.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Captain Whiner |
6.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Caravaggio’s Song |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Real Conviction |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Happily Delusional |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anything But Mine |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Late Nite Call |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Master of Tweets |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Encrypt |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just Cheesy |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Real Conviction |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kernie’s Wittness |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Factor It In |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spikezone |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paradise Valley |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Windsor Gold |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Traders Luck |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Veeson |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chuck Willis (IRE) |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Showstopper Copper |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Factor It In |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bump N Run |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hermoso Hombre |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mega Charlie |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exit Right |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Trending Up |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mega Charlie |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
We Be There |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dudley Dickerson |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Truth and Honesty |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Doctor Doom |
4.50 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mucho Macho Eddie |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Saint Marco |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
3 |
3 |
Long Gray Line |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Twins Sneakers |
20.00 |
12.7 |
24-1 |
16 |
16 |
Makabim |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
We Ready |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Teewinot Pass |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Singinthruthestorm |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Musical Heart |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.