Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 30, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Whatta Life 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 I’m a Night Train 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Live Affair 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Friend’s Do Care 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Knight of Honor 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Joseph H 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Lacey’s Kat 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Count On Rain 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Pal’s Alarm 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 One More Sleep 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Age of Reason 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Makeithappen 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Gab’s Humor 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Knocked Out 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Laryslittleracer 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sammy Sam Sam 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Water Tester 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Greatizlove 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Metallic Mischief 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Clearly the Best 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 What’s the Report 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Randy Daytona 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Chief Slew 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Nelle Tue Mani 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bayou Jam 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dried Pepper 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Shortlist 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hanks 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Zong Tough 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Kajun Karma 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Absaroka 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Sadie’s Light 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Biloxi 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miz Mastery 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Beautiful Mischief 2.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Secret Rocket 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Welcometohazeville 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Railey Jean 10.00 5 10-1
1 1 Grace the Kingdom 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Holiday Lines 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Loving County 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kip the Distance 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Casually Classy 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Takeittothehouse 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Max’s Redemption 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Saint Cecile 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Dreamy Deal 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Gottotry Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cigars N Cars 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nomoretanlines 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Adios Carlos 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sammy Danseur Jr. 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Empire Kid 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Skippa 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Back Bayou 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Samurai’s Grandson 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sunset War 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Why Joey Why 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Karaoke 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bobby Merlot 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Rite On Sam 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Natural High 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Gold Capo 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Still On the Books 15.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Quick Zong 15.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Admiral Afleet 20.00 8.7 17-1
10 10 F J’s Flaco 12.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Windtapper Win 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fire Sword 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Butler Cabin 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Calculated Luv 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Northernreflection 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mr. B Cause 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hyperbolist 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Fahan 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Into Wishing 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Gloryland 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Peppered Gal 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Splotch 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sheer Luck 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Cosmopolitankitten 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Laryscountrygirl 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 She’s So True 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Majestic Irons 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Back Nine 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Trakas 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.