Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tyrona |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cotton Candy Annie |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hurricane Lassie |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Morning |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reba Attack |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Irish Kitten |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Motown Star |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shriner |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Good to Be Prince |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Does Not Compute |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Branzino |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wedding Gift |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Boss’ Dialin In |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Went West |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Willtorun |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talons Time |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Supremely |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cortese |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seeking Sawyer |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Coffee County |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mi Solution |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
House Bourbon |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tussling Charlie |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deer Crossing |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
City of Love |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coffee County |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fran’s Star |
8.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wise Verdict |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tap the Tequila |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Money Kingdom |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ampitup |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Louisiana Native |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maximum Grace |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tap the Tequila |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sophie’s Painter |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bearcat |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Gift Giver |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
X J Rascal (IRE) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prowling Tiger |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Interstellar |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Battle Scars |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gentle Soul |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sivako |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Optimus Kat |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twoko Bay |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ember |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mahoney Road |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Just Jimmy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pinfire |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Comanche Warrior |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saint Peter’s Bay |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Map to the Stars |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Romance |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oncoming Train |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seaport Lane |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Executor |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
States’ Rights |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Mischief |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Optical |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hot Property |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flying Mohawk |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Date the Prince |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Instant Replay |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Infinite Luck |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Deep Manhattan |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Fully Volatile |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Darlin |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wupkar |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal O’Haigain |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Alexis |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo for Us |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Country Lady |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Platinum Minit |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
A Runnin Afleet |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.