Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 30, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tyrona 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Cotton Candy Annie 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Hurricane Lassie 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dixie Morning 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Reba Attack 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Irish Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Motown Star 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Shriner 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Good to Be Prince 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Does Not Compute 20.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Branzino 2.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Wedding Gift 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Boss’ Dialin In 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Went West 2.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Willtorun 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Talons Time 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Supremely 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Cortese 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Seeking Sawyer 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Coffee County 0 0-1
8 8 Mi Solution 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 House Bourbon 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Tussling Charlie 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Deer Crossing 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 City of Love 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Coffee County 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Fran’s Star 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Wise Verdict 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tap the Tequila 0 0-1
2 2 Money Kingdom 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ampitup 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Louisiana Native 20.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Maximum Grace 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Tap the Tequila 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sophie’s Painter 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bearcat 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gift Giver 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 X J Rascal (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Prowling Tiger 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Interstellar 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Battle Scars 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Gentle Soul 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Sivako 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Optimus Kat 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Twoko Bay 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Ember 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mahoney Road 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Just Jimmy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pinfire 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Comanche Warrior 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Saint Peter’s Bay 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Map to the Stars 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Lucky Romance 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Oncoming Train 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Seaport Lane 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Executor 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 States’ Rights 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lucky Mischief 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Optical 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Hot Property 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Flying Mohawk 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Date the Prince 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Instant Replay 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Infinite Luck 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Deep Manhattan 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fully Volatile 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Darlin 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Wupkar 12.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Royal O’Haigain 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sweet Alexis 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mo for Us 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Country Lady 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Platinum Minit 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 A Runnin Afleet 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.