Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 31, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Foxy Frances 0 0-1
1 1 Catchphrase 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Long Legged Queen 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Eastern Star 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Calling an Audible 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Foxy Frances 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shop Lifting 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tipple 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sandi’s Satire 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shirl’s Delight 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 She’s Wicked Smart 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Dazzy 4.50 1 2-1
4 3 Southampton Dock 8.00 1.8 3-1
1A 6 Magic Eight Ball 2.00 2 4-1
6 7 Backstretch Rose 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 1 Looks First 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 5 Soundbite 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Thirteen Red Flags 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Liberte de Bayeux 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Castle Island 1.80 1.7 3-1
3 3 Augustine Red 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Narciso Dali 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 More Vino 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Collect From Ike 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Waitwaitdonttellme 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Laughter 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Everlys Girl 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Raw Power 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sister Linda 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Condiment Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Find Your Joy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Patty Brown Eyes 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Scarlet’s Dream 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Street View 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Stress Reliever 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Saucy Six 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Beautiful Bolt 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Despo’s Dream 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Western Wolf 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tapwrits Temper 4.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Vamonos Vamonos 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Just Clarity 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sobieski 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tycoon Mogul 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Strand Road 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Stjames 0 0-1
2 2 Wake Surf 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hey Toby 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Stjames 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sin Nombre 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Ice Time 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 A Lister 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Hours in a Day 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Az U Chase Me 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.