Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 31, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Everylittlesingh 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 C C Senora 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Run Away Samari 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Aspen Link 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Classic Deal 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Adiamondinthestorm 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Artie’s Deal 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Charged Up Rose 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Its Just Money 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wholeheartedly 5.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Amentum 1.60 2.4 5-1
6 6 Kinsman Redeemer 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sense You Asked 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Metronome 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Texas Adopter 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Call My Banker 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Global Pride 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Twirling Roses 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Uncle Berley 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Julia’s Warrior 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Scooteranddabigman 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 Crime Spree 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ann Alee 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Midnight Bella 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Sky Maker 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gastown 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Pink Lady Lu Sha 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Simona’s Choice 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 April’s Gem 10.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Cincy’s Anna 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fully Volatile 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chris’s Revenge 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 High Ceiling 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Infinite Luck 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 American City 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Right Spot 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
C’Est Cheese 0 0-1
1 1 Sally O’Malley 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 C’Est Cheese 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 My Ocho 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Aldora 4.50 6.7 13-1
6 6 Candy Lover 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Oh My Mia 4.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Sharper Gal 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Splash Master 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spun Up 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Romany Road 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Eyes On Italy 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Vino Bella 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Cheval B 15.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Combattante 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Lolo’s Girl 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Jewish Mother 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Acousticat 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Lil Breezzy 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Midnight Mary 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Doolgaroux 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Blame Me Seriously 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Who Is Chief 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Regatta Bay 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sweet Talkin Slick 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Aries Honor 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Victory Prince 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 A Passive Nobody 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.