Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mor Mor Mor |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cluck Cluck |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Ensign |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gourmet |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midsummers Eve |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Still Game |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Wanda |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whatsyourbigidea |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Conquest Dancer |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lika Rolling Stone |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Conquest Dancer |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Feelin So Lucky |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lottie Deno |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Memento Mi |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lilly Lightning |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kilo Road |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Buoyant |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hello Sunshine |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grey Flannel Boss |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Twenty One Kid |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Enabler |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gala Star |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Riley’s Rockstar |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Schrader |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
R Averie Lynn |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
True Sunshine |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Serenity |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forgotten Gift |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sultry Sally H |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Argentina Girl |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fancy Princess |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Maximus Speed |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bee a Sky Beam |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Longworth |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reserve Judgement |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Andras |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
D Hopper |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stormy Hollow |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gillis Falls |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucked In |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Air Speed |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Minister for Magic |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jmr Speedy Escape |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cajun Vibes |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noble Fish |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Borletti (IRE) |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beach Cowboy |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stately Order |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ascendance |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Whatahardmanfidead |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eyes Eleven |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Admit Nothing |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Middleburg |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
7 |
War Master |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Collection Day |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Collier’s Time |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Secret Zipper |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
10 |
Margie’s Fun Son |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Virginia City |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
3 |
Under the Radar |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
9 |
Galatians |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cap Com |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tenebris |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Murray |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seven’s Eleven |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Antonelli |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Five Dreams |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Cents |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Debit Card |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Key Stat |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maliblue |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dats My Pharaoh |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Grey |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Superlastingsecret |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Carolina Flake |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cooltrain |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Dilemma |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.