Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cigarette Boat 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Boltage 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Alcove 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Norwich 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rock N Roll Bolt 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Baltimore Heart 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 No No Joe 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Toscano 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Glacial Power 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whiskey and Easy 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Moonovermontgomery 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Dapper Dude 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tiverton 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Surprise Road Trip 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Corked 30.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Joeybones 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Love a Fighter 50.00 6 11-1
1 1 B Wayne 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Huntleigh 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Graceleadsushome 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Fit and Famous 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 De’ Ans Eighty 8.00 1.6 3-1
13 13 Rambert 6.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Rumpus 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Rockets Sister 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Chrome Attack 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 My Lady Slew 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Problematica 4.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sweet Temperament 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Maximus 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 We’ll Do It Live 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 La Nina Dorada 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 The Pretty Sister 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 About to Set Sail 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sister Ella 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 From Scratch 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Viv’s Wild Aces 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Hopeitsmyluckyday 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Country Belle 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Good N Sassy 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Aterradora (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dancetheniteaway 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Aviso 12.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Chapel Street 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Expecto Patronum 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Dreaming of Lilies 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Goldenageactress 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Black Dog 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Miss Birkin (IRE) 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Strive for Honor 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Straight Forward 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Good Going 10.00 8.7 17-1
14 14 Nana Grace 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Authentic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 San Siro 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nash 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Snead 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Will Take It 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 No White Flags 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Uxmal 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Call Me Fast 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Unified Dreams 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Robert “bobby” Kelly Memorial S.) – Robert “bobby” Kelly Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Accomplished Girl 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Speedy Traveler 5.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Oeuvre 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Runninwiththeboyz 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cupids Crush 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Riley Jean 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Big Trouble 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 High Class 8.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Non Violence 6.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Danse Macabre 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cecile 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miss Arlington 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Harbor Springs 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Imperial Gun 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Glen Airy 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Goldbrick 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Fightertown 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Touch Of Glam (ARG) 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 House United 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Warhol 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Coppermaster 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 First Player 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Next Level 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Nine Part 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Like This 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Spinning Aces 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Clear as a Bele 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Craken Jax 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Black Sword 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Big Boo 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Big Chopper 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 G’wildcat 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lauri’s Wish 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.