Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Peekaboo Cat |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rough Draft |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neophyte |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rock to Fame |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Courageous Copper |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gabagool |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dropkick Murphy |
4.50 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Souper Sunshine |
10.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grimes |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oxymore |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lookin to Excel |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
He’s a Daredevil |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s a Beast |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Start Mo Up |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Wearebackyoungman |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sorcerer’s Silver |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roman Hunter |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Caracas |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Edition |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bizymaline |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spider Belle |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Misprint |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Worldly Beauty |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Smart Spending |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Don’t Get Pickled |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Queen Deymar |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Khosea |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Current Situation |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dontmesswithtess |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Amazin Queen |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Sweetest Chant S.) – Sweetest Chant S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Correto |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vixen |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ramsey Pond |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Gioconda |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fixin to Bee |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sail Theseven Seas |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fede |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Origami (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Roger Roger |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trip Aces |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Onrush |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oasis Prince |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Global Prosperity |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Daham |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Levitating |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Emergence |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Easier Said |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
King of the Castle |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Palm Tree |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Echo Lane |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Spirit |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roundtop |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thornbury |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brawn |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Raguel |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Then |
3.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Princetown |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Junction Road |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Omni King |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Mount Horeb |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Iris’s Dream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Why Not Me |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Ninja Star |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
River Thames |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tux |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rolando |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
River Thames |
1.40 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Conquering Cat |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Souper Times |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Indecisiveness |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lou |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Strengthnguidance |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mutaawid |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
L’Antharis (FR) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Kid Cairo |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ramblin’ Wreck |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Harry Hood |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Mutaawid |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thomas Aquinas |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Greystone |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cadet Corps |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classic Creation |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Il Siciliano |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Steadfast Resolve |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tennessee Lamb |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fortune Seller |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Swale S.) – Swale S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gate to Wire |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grayscale |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gunmetal |
1.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Macho Music |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maitre D |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fire Pit |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Donut God |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Kitten’s Joy S.) – Kitten’s Joy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Coco Cool |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Test Score |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Charlie’s to Blame |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Walking in Memphis |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz Dashing |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maui Strong |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enterdadragon |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mi Bago |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Holy Bull S.) – Holy Bull S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ferocious |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Guns Loaded |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tappan Street |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
He’s Not Joking |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Burning Glory |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kinetic Control |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Burnham Square |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Fasig-tipton Forward Gal S.) – Fasig-tipton Forward Gal S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Eclatant |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stunner |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Queens M G |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rojo Rita |
2.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unchained Elaine |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beyond Belief |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Frida |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Denysse |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Justinqueso |
8.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Volatiled |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Costa Amalfitana |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.