Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tetched | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamba Mindset | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Blue | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lifting | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Talented | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dad Joke | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kevin of Blackrock | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Notion | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Guvnah | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandy’s Miss | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | First Pearl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Philly | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mandy’s Miss | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cruz Chica | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Forever | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Shawtown Girl | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Why Not Grace | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bangkok Bob | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Boss | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Generative | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Music | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brereton’s Baytown | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notmyfirstrodeo | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crabcakes N Beer | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have a Party | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shape Note | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Borracho | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nancy Made My Day | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Order Ofthe Kettle | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Orientate | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey and You | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotts Got It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kitty’s Pretty | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gilda’s Girl | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Charlotte | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximo Madness | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maddie Ten | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Blue | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fashionista | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bucchanera | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bali Hai | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hype | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passage East | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Lady | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Complexity Jane | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greatwhitefleet | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Found Grace | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seaside Road | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Complex | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cynthia Gail | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cross of Valor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El de Larry | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern District | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gambling Tzar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Running River | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s On Fire | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Order | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oxide | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Cardo | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impetud | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fan Club | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 7 | Riccio | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Mose Perfect | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Law | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Penny Loafer | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Fan Club | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | My Last Mission | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Masakado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Derz Smart | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitty’s Son | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Biggsy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Veneto | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gone Boy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Percy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Boss | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Myluckeyvalentine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.