Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Briterdayzahead |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Show Time |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eternally Grateful |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Samurai Prince |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lunar Module |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’m Wide Awake |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ringside |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
|
Lunar Module |
|
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Nothing But Heir |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ragnow |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noble Reign |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mintastic |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Viney |
50.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Problem Solved |
2.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stonington |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arjun for Karz |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Computing Champ |
3.50 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tango Mike Mike |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Baby Boat |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Rasee |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Magic |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hola Joey |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thunderhawk |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Most Likely |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Moorea Time |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Captive Heart |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elodine |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joyful Pursuit |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Air Castle |
3.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zettie |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Collada |
50.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Patient Emilie |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Illy Simz |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coldasice |
3.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
|
Patient Emilie |
|
12 |
23-1 |
|
|
Coldasice |
|
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Brother Tony |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Walstib |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Major Mack |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stoke the Fire |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lebombo |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Paint Baller |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bermuda Blitz |
2.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Winning Song |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
|
Paint Baller |
|
10 |
19-1 |
|
|
Bermuda Blitz |
|
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lemon Muffin |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Xena |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crazy Cami |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Where’s My Ring |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Under the Palms |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Majestic Oops |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Claret Beret |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legally Lucky |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Champagne Rose (BRZ) |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
C. C. Harbor |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
|
Claret Beret |
|
12 |
23-1 |
|
|
Crazy Cami |
|
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lemonesse |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ready for Trouble |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Keepsake |
30.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lite It Up Louie |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Managing Mischief |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lassie My Girl |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dance My Way |
20.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Don’t Ju Forget |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bennykayandsuzytoo |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Edistrudis |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Punchy Girl |
10.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
4 |
4 |
Antique Silver |
4.50 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ryno Wrecker |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Strike Ridge |
1.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Commander |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Chez Whiz |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Rainy Day |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Skyped |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aux Arcs |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Partyinthestreets |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moneystrike |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sir Peel |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Native Moonshine |
50.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Won Ninety |
30.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Clear Echo |
10.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American Beauty S.) – American Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tanya Showers |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fibber |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Benedetta |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Taxed |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pharoah’s Heart |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moonlit Lady |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
First Hill |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Butch |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
God’s Country |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ranch Hand |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hayahlookatme |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
All Green Lights |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Pearcy Road |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Dial |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cool and Cloudy |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Heartaches |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Get the Boss |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shot At Pure Peace |
50.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pea Eye |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.