Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dealers Special |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
El Rey Rey |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bad to the Bones |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Oobubbakakayo |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spearfish |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brave Blend |
4.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Navajo Warrior |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hurricane Way |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Juanito |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mongolian Altai |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Vorpal |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Section Sixty |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stan From Malibu |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Big Heart |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocasek |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Vorpal |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cody Boy |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
I Am Amadeo |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Novinophobia |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Littlebrotherjoey |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Santa Monica S.) – Santa Monica S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hope Road |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kopion |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Richi (CHI) |
1.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Splendora |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Robert B. Lewis S.) – Robert B. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Citizen Bull |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Uptown Mojo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Citizen Bull |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rodriguez |
1.40 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clock Tower |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Madaket Road |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Valentines Candy |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Mysticism |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Venganza |
12.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Duly Noted |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Roberts (GB) |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Word Play (GB) |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runamileinmyshoes |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Not A Sinner (GB) |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Lovin’ On the Run |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
September Magic |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Great Forty Eight |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cornelia Fort |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Miss Monarch Bay |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Miss Mandalay (GB) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Source (GB) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Megahertz S.) – Megahertz S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Liguria |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sareeha (IRE) |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rashmi |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Omaha Girl |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mucho Macho Girl |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mahina |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Hug |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Moose Mitchell |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pilot Commander |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moose Mitchell |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Slider |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
See Through It |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Manitowish |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kingdom Heart |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Thunder Road S.) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
El Potente |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Lammas (GB) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
El Potente |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seal Team (GB) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Air Force Red |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lammas (GB) |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Astronomer |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Potente |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cabo Spirit |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zio Jo |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wizard of Westwood |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Packs a Wahlop |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Chasing Ryter |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Letmein |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grey Area |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chasing Ryter |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Berlin Wall |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roman Gratis |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Outworker |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Three Wire |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Falcon Wings |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beer Buzz |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Heart Headed |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stamp My Passport |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jeweled Shillelagh |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ciro di Marzio |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Calm Sea |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freeport Joe |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Blamethegoodtimes |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Call Sign Seven |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Glory (GB) |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
T’Challa (GB) |
6.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sketchy |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.