Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Union Express |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Active Duty |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gum Island |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Irie Man |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ollie Can Dance |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Well Suited |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Willingness |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bernie Goes Boom |
0.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Belmont Union |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1A |
6 |
Damage |
0.60 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
7 |
Tino in Toga |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Klimt Master |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Return the Ring |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jake Rocks |
1.20 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Chalky Cat |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
4 |
Can’t Beat Me |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bronx Bomber |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1A |
7 |
Flowing River |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Dads Good Runner |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fast Amendment |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Albedo |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Neptune Beach |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Allofasuddenlee |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mugsy Fury |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1A |
7 |
Big Ego |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Braca |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
He’s Got This |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
High Tide |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Street Swagg |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flat Out Flying |
1.60 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bad Larry |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gun Maestro |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
G T Five Hundred |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quick Hammer |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hatch |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devil’s Cay |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Concorde Spirit |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Muazarah |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Blown Cover |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
J J’s Joker |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Melt With You |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scat Tu Tap |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Waitlist |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ragazzo Diabolico |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Berning Beauty |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Monopoly Man |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Accelerina |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Short Shift |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shaman Princess |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Political Spin |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alley’s Song |
6.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Grotte |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Troubled Luck |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mo Damorninggrouch |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.