Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 2, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Union Express 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Active Duty 1.60 1.5 3-1
2 2 Gum Island 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Irie Man 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ollie Can Dance 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Well Suited 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Willingness 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Bernie Goes Boom 0.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Belmont Union 6.00 3.9 7-1
1A 6 Damage 0.60 4.9 9-1
6 7 Tino in Toga 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Klimt Master 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Return the Ring 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jake Rocks 1.20 1.2 2-1
4 3 Chalky Cat 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 4 Can’t Beat Me 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bronx Bomber 15.00 5.6 11-1
1A 7 Flowing River 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Dads Good Runner 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fast Amendment 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Albedo 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Neptune Beach 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Allofasuddenlee 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mugsy Fury 4.00 4.6 9-1
1A 7 Big Ego 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Braca 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 He’s Got This 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 High Tide 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Street Swagg 4.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Flat Out Flying 1.60 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bad Larry 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Gun Maestro 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 G T Five Hundred 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Quick Hammer 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Hatch 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Devil’s Cay 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Concorde Spirit 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Muazarah 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blown Cover 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 J J’s Joker 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Melt With You 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Scat Tu Tap 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Waitlist 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ragazzo Diabolico 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Berning Beauty 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 The Monopoly Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Accelerina 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Short Shift 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Shaman Princess 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Political Spin 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Alley’s Song 6.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 La Grotte 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Troubled Luck 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Mo Damorninggrouch 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.