Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Father Mark | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Got Me a Chrysler | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Father Mark | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Sassicaia | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pop’s Peppysteper | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apriority Rocket | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Brother Go | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Going the Distance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Saint | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Pom Pom | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Charlize | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Force | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aztec Empress | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unified Report | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passing Judgment | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Dollars | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Jack | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Secret | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kathlyns Phalanx | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slick and Fast | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captivating Star | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oak Hill Lg | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cheatin Charlie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Peso Pesado | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gordito Hermoso | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Star | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keys Included | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guitar Boy | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Path to Success | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arrogates Spirit | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spectrier | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mau Mau | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Hotshot | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don Corleone | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bruhn | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ouch Charlie | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Par | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaville | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unbridled Pleasure | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flame Rock Fire | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hen Hen | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | World Chaos | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swaging | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Berkus (FR) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chaste One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Paved in Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gunner Glacken | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carambaso | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Face the Future | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Towner Too | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabo Mischief | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shoot the Nickel | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Endrick | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lord I Wonder | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zen Moment | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Obstreperous | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polyrhythmic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Say It | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Out too Late (GB) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cynane | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Maybe | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Miracle | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Notable Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Foret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Garnet and Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Ascent | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Four | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hooray Austin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Father Goose | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Creole Charlie | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Marvin | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Woadie | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Guy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zion | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Older and Wiser | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.