Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Baby Avery |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prime Power |
1.20 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ambition |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spurgeon |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Warden |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bayou Blitz |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Darrow |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Indian Spirit |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tactical Express |
6.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Smoke Show Girl |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Palmilla’s Bet |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rosie Cotton |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cosmic Chic |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mo Hopeful |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Y City |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hamazimaux |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen Wilhelmina |
4.50 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
My Julia |
3.50 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
4 |
4 |
Honduras Passion |
12.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Macho Ronnie |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miri a Coincidence |
20.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classy Socks |
30.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Atta Party |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chupapi Munyayo |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reef’s Destiny |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
You Vee Cee |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bellamys Roan |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’m an Oak |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Choctaw Zip |
4.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Colonel Barton |
6.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
10 |
10 |
Table Money |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
This Damsel Mayfly |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sky Raven |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chuck Wills Widow |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adamantly |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Texas Sequoia |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bolivia |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Who Lu |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Hot Shot Shopper |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Our Special Gift |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Athelas |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Now Hear This |
8.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Simple Dreams |
5.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ranch Rebel |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Payton’s Beauty |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chapter and Verse |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Warm Days |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Myspittinimage |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Commander Dixie |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charlie Mike |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Geez Eloise |
1.80 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blue Dazzler |
8.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Don’t Post It |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mazilynn |
3.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fab Girl |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tripolina |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Merasol Sugar |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapiture’s Lady |
30.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Story Hour |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
In Just My Heels |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stellar Lily |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Hebrides |
2.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Let’s Duet |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
She’s a Dreamer |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Call Sadie |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sending |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kava |
10.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Macy |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Sweet Angel |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Plinko Chip |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pickmeupatmidnight |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Very Cosmopolitan |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enchanting Creek |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Confirmed Forgery |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beachya |
6.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
This Is Uscar |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wendelssohn |
1.60 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Excitable Boy |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Jalen Run |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nasty Habit |
1.80 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drewmania |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Easy Action |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ravin’s Town |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Time for Truth |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Phenomenal Dream |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Safe Bet |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Crue’s N Control |
20.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Kween’s King |
20.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sip Slowly |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gold Member |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Streakin Deacon |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chasin’ Chaffin |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mula |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Miyagi |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enigma Code |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
|
Phenomenal Dream |
|
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.