Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Texoma 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 We Call Him Doc 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Country Hit 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Native Requite 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Eagle Point 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hay Lover Boy 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Seeking the Game 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Trouble With Sugar 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Reaux Bina 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lightening Mo 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Mrs. Macomber 3.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Little Z 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Kappa Hill 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Grace’s Soldier 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Neon Moonlight 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Insipid 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Deal Breaking Dame 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Kisses for Cooper 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Special Strike 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Wicked Sailor 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Half Sister 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Take My Candy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mor Big Lee 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Starburst 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Desoto’s War 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bouldering 4.50 5 10-1
3 3 American Smooth 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Stans Home Run 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Violent Gigi 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Poppa Magic 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Titanium Deal 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Summertime Peppers 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Heavenly Deal 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Chad’s Flash 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Reddingandlee 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 My Pal Sweet 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Ells 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Perfect Deal 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 She’s a Target 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Attila the Spun 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Candy Girl Miss 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Mopac Traffic 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mo Sister 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Style Maker 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Madison Rae 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Need Some Money 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Miss Leona 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 So Jordan 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Magic Glass 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Honest Angus 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Blue Heavenly 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 That’s My Mama 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Show Me the Candy 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Game and Gormley 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Autumn Rob 8.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Watch the Coast 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Triple Four 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dee’s Legs 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Little Warrior 2.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 R T’s d’Oro 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Yakety Yak 4.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Make Your Destiny 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mischevious Robert 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Breaking Star 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.