Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bal de Mar |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flashy Motor |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maerdama |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
On Moonlight Bay |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Parade Ring (IRE) |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Revenge |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coda Mia |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lionza |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lois’ Courage |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Foxtrot Harry |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Candy Street |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Team Captain |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rapture Bay |
1.60 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rapscallion |
4.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Severance |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Magicshadow |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Magnetic Beach |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Candy and Wine |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Magnetic Beach |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cicatriz |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princess Claudia |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shines Madelin |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Signifying Nothing |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shaboujee |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Ride On Anna |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Grayleigh |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Silvia |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grayleigh |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ghanaayem |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Early On |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anacapri |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fallon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Shisospicy |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Le Amazonia |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Laurice |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smile Po |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Candy Quest |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thankfully |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blossoming Erudite |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Maddy R |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Dare to Breeze |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Tell Tammo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Zeena Swift |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Puckered |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady O’Brien |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hidden Road |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesomely Wild |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fashionable Kitty |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slender Slipper |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
With Kindness |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anna’s Promise |
1.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bee a Queen |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Young and Pretty |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Empressstrikesback |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zennas Word |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flo Go |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Capture the Flag |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Meyer |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fuerteventura |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Junipero Serra |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calycanthus |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Native Shaman |
2.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Legitimize |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Minty |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Texas Holiday |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Other Like You |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Collected |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Loveumissumeanit |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Scarlet Sands |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ribbons |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Romina |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Goal |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Lindsay Smiles |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.